Italy vs Greece, European Championship Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:12
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Championship - Play Offs - 3rd place
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceERT 2
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Chances of winning


Italy
21.4%
Draw
12.4%
Greece
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 12.9% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 13% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-43.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Italy's form might have worsened.
  • Greece has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+43.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greece's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+42.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Italy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greece than the current prediction. (-43.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greece, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Italy - Greece Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.33
    (1.41)
    7.47
    (7.1)
    1.4
    (4.09)
    8.1%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 25.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Italy - Greece?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Greece (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 12:15.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2.
    • In recent matches, Italy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Greece is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Greece is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Italy won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 191:188. (average 9.6:9.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Greece were as follows:
    19.01.2026 Greece - Italy 15:13
    20.07.2025 Italy - Greece 11:17
    05.08.2024 Greece - Italy 9:8
    04.07.2024 Italy - Greece 13:12
    13.02.2024 Greece - Italy 10:11
    Latest results of Italy
    23.01.2026 Serbia - Italy 17:13
    21.01.2026 Italy - Croatia 13:10
    19.01.2026 Greece - Italy 15:13
    17.01.2026 Georgia - Italy 14:16
    15.01.2026 Romania - Italy 6:20
    Latest results of Greece
    23.01.2026 Greece - Hungary 12:15
    21.01.2026 Romania - Greece 9:18
    19.01.2026 Greece - Italy 15:13
    17.01.2026 Greece - Turkey 20:8
    15.01.2026 Greece - Croatia 11:10
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SerbiaItaly17 : 13
    2GreeceHungary12 : 15

    Final
    1SerbiaHungary10 : 7

    3rd place
    2ItalyGreece5 : 12