Italy vs Northern Ireland, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification - Promotion - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2, ESPN
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyRAI 1, RaiPlay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV 2, SPOTV Now
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, BBC Three
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFubo Sports Network, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.400.41
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
81
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
123
Passes
84% (423/503)76% (236/310)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.400.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.11
Total shots
198
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
144
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
3713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
811
Passes
84% (423/503)76% (236/310)
Long passes
53% (26/49)42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
70% (93/133)55% (56/101)
Crosses
32% (11/34)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.37
Throw ins
2416
Fouls
118
Tackles
90% (9/10)44% (7/16)
Duels won
3748
Clearances
2438
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.111.65
Goals prevented
0.11-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 0, Tonali S. ,
  • 58', Bastoni A. 🟨,
  • 63', Bastoni A. , Gatti F. ,
  • 64', Retegui M. , Esposito F. ,
  • 68', Devlin T. , Smyth P. ,
  • 79', Spencer B. , Reid J. ,
  • 79', Donley J. , Magennis J. ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Kean M. , Tonali S. (A),
  • 83', Tonali S. , Pisilli N. ,
  • 83', Politano M. , Palestra M. ,
  • 88', Kean M. , Raspadori G. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3rbnnpkf

Chances of winning


Italy
75.6%
Draw
17.1%
Northern Ireland
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.2% 18.5% 8.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Northern Ireland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Italy - Northern Ireland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.31)
    5.56
    (5.19)
    13.28
    (11.44)
    4.4%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Italy - Northern Ireland?
  • Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 54 - 90%). Northern Ireland will win (votes: 3 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 82.4%97.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • TQ, OT - Italy (1.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Italy (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Italy (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Italy (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Italy (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Italy (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Italy (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Italy (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Italy (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Italy will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 20 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Italy is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Italy: Chiesa F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Northern Ireland: Ballard D. (Muscle Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Lewis J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Italy: Scamacca G. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Italy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    Latest results of Italy
    16.11.2025 Italy - Norway 1:4
    13.11.2025 Moldova - Italy 0:2
    14.10.2025 Italy - Israel 3:0
    11.10.2025 Estonia - Italy 1:3
    08.09.2025 Israel - Italy 4:5
    Latest results of Northern Ireland
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

          Promotion ~ World Cup
          Promotion ~ World Cup (Promotion: )