Italy vs Serbia, World Championship Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Water polo World Championship Water Polo Italy - Serbia
Result
17:16 penalties
14/07/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Championship

Chances of winning


Italy
39.7%
Draw
14.1%
Serbia
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 14.2% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Serbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Italy - Serbia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.35)
    6.51
    (6.45)
    1.98
    (1.96)
    9.2%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 23.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Italy - Serbia?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Italy (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 11:13.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Italy won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 122:144. (average 8.1:9.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Serbia were as follows:
    25.07.2023 Italy - Serbia 14:15
    Latest results of Italy
    12.07.2025 Romania - Italy 5:17
    10.08.2024 Australia - Italy 6:10
    09.08.2024 Italy - Spain 9:11
    07.08.2024 Italy - Hungary 10:12
    05.08.2024 Greece - Italy 9:8
    Latest results of Serbia
    11.07.2025 Serbia - South Africa 27:3
    11.01.2025 Serbia - France 18:12
    10.01.2025 Serbia - Romania 21:6
    08.01.2025 Serbia - Montenegro 15:16
    08.01.2025 Greece - Serbia 17:13
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ItalyBye
    2BrazilGreece5 : 17
    3SpainBye
    4CanadaMontenegro10 : 22
    5USABye
    6SerbiaJapan21 : 14
    7CroatiaBye
    8RomaniaHungary11 : 15

    Quarter-finals
    1ItalyGreece11 : 17
    2SpainMontenegro14 : 5
    3USASerbia9 : 14
    4CroatiaHungary12 : 18

    Semi-finals
    1GreeceSpain9 : 11
    2SerbiaHungary18 : 19

    Final
    1SpainHungary15 : 13

    3rd place
    2GreeceSerbia16 : 7