Italy vs Slovenia, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
77:84
07/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
finlandFinlandRuutu+
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
polandPolandTVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5464
Field Goals Made
2527
Field Goals %
46.3%42.2%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2428
2-Point Field Goals Made
1415
2-Point Field Goals %
58.3%53.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3036
3-Point Field Goals Made
1112
3-Point Field Goals %
36.7%33.3%
Free Throws Attempted
2322
Free Throws Made
1618
Free Throws %
69.6%81.8%
Offensive Rebounds
813
Defensive Rebounds
2221
Total Rebounds
3034
Assists
2412
Blocks
00
Turnovers
1414
Steals
97
Personal Fouls
2422

Highlights

Chances of winning


Italy
58%
Slovenia
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 32.1%

Italy - Slovenia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.64
(1.46)

2.29
(2.91)
4.7%
(2.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Italy - Slovenia?
  • Users Predictions: Slovenia will win (44 of 50 users predict this - 88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.99%97.01%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Slovenia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • Italy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Slovenia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Italy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 384:431. (average 76.8:86.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Slovenia were as follows:
    09.09.2023 Italy - Slovenia 85:89
    Latest results of Italy
    04.09.2025 Italy - Cyprus 89:54
    02.09.2025 Italy - Spain 67:63
    30.08.2025 Italy - Georgia 78:62
    28.08.2025 Greece - Italy 75:66
    Latest results of Slovenia
    04.09.2025 Israel - Slovenia 96:106
    02.09.2025 Iceland - Slovenia 79:87
    31.08.2025 Slovenia - Belgium 86:69
    30.08.2025 France - Slovenia 103:95
    28.08.2025 Slovenia - Poland 95:105
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)68 : 94
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1Turkey (A1)Germany (B1)83 : 88

    3rd place
    2Greece (C1)Finland (B3)92 : 89