Italy vs South Africa, Friendly International Rugby Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
14:32
15/11/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Friendly International
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV6
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 3

Match Stats

Tries
14
Conversion Goals
03
Conversion Goal Attempts
14
Penalty Goals
32
Penalty Goal Attempts
52
Goals %
5083
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
76100
Metres Run With Ball
163317
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 10)
  • 11', Mostert F. 🟥,
  • 34', Pollard H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 37', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40+1', van Staden M. (Try),
  • 40+2', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (11 - 22)
  • 44', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 52', van Staden M. 🟨,
  • 53', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 55', Pollard H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 58', Cannone L. 🟨,
  • 60', van den Berg M. (Try),
  • 61', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Capuozzo A. (Try),
  • 72', Williams G. (Try),
  • 73', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Hooker E. (Try),

Chances of winning


Italy
11.3%
Draw
2.6%
South Africa
86.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
7.5% 2.1% 90.5%

Italy - South Africa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
8.22
(12.5)
36.33
(45)
1.08
(1.03)
7.7%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-19)
What is the prediction for Italy - South Africa?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 18:37.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0.
    • South Africa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, South Africa is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Italy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 90:318. (average 11.3:39.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - South Africa were as follows:
    12.07.2025 South Africa - Italy 45:0
    05.07.2025 South Africa - Italy 42:24
    19.11.2022 Italy - South Africa 21:63
    Latest results of Italy
    08.11.2025 Italy - Australia 26:19
    12.07.2025 South Africa - Italy 45:0
    05.07.2025 South Africa - Italy 42:24
    27.06.2025 Namibia - Italy 6:73
    15.03.2025 Italy - Ireland 17:22
    Latest results of South Africa
    08.11.2025 France - South Africa 17:32
    01.11.2025 South Africa - Japan 61:7
    04.10.2025 Argentina - South Africa 27:29
    27.09.2025 South Africa - Argentina 67:30
    13.09.2025 New Zealand - South Africa 10:43