Italy vs Spain, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Spyros Kyprianou Arena (Limassol).

EuroBasket - Round 4
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	CT sport
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Italy	DAZN Italia
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891

Match Stats


Field Goals Attempted
61	61
Field Goals Made
23	20
Field Goals %
37.7%	32.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
32	23
2-Point Field Goals Made
16	10
2-Point Field Goals %
50%	43.5%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
29	38
3-Point Field Goals Made
7	10
3-Point Field Goals %
24.1%	26.3%
Free Throws Attempted
19	22
Free Throws Made
14	13
Free Throws %
73.7%	59.1%
Offensive Rebounds
11	9
Defensive Rebounds
33	30
Total Rebounds
44	39
Assists
12	13
Blocks
4	3
Turnovers
8	10
Steals
5	4
Personal Fouls
26	20

Highlights

Chances of winning

Italy
53.6%

Spain
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Italy - Spain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.79)		2.06 ↑ (2.03)	3.7% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

What is the prediction for Italy - Spain?

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Spain will win (votes: 18 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 42.5% – 77.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Italy (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Spain (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:77.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Italy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 494:486. (average 82.3:81).

How many head-to-head matches has Italy won against Spain?

Italy has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Spain won against Italy?

Spain has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Spain were as follows:

25.06.2024 Spain - Italy 84:87

26.02.2023 Spain - Italy 68:72

11.11.2022 Italy - Spain 84:88

Latest results of Italy

31.08.2025 Bosnia and Herzegovina - Italy 79:96 ✺

30.08.2025 Italy - Georgia 78:62 ✺

28.08.2025 Greece - Italy 75:66 ✺

22.08.2025 Greece - Italy 76:74 ✺

21.08.2025 Italy - Latvia 68:83 ✺

Latest results of Spain

31.08.2025 Spain - Cyprus 91:47 ✺

30.08.2025 Spain - Bosnia and Herzegovina 88:67 ✺

28.08.2025 Georgia - Spain 83:69 ✺

23.08.2025 Germany - Spain 95:78 ✺

21.08.2025 Spain - Germany 105:106 ✺

Draw

Final tournament

1/8-finals

1	Lithuania (B2)	Latvia (A3)	88 : 79
2	Greece (C1)	Israel (D4)	84 : 79
3	Turkey (A1)	Sweden (B4)	85 : 79
4	Poland (D2)	Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)	80 : 72
5	Germany (B1)	Portugal (A4)	85 : 58
6	Italy (C2)	Slovenia (D3)	77 : 84
7	Serbia (A2)	Finland (B3)	86 : 92
8	France (D1)	Georgia (C4)	70 : 80

Quarter-finals

1	Lithuania (B2)	Greece (C1)	76 : 87
2	Turkey (A1)	Poland (D2)	91 : 77
3	Germany (B1)	Slovenia (D3)	99 : 91
4	Finland (B3)	Georgia (C4)	93 : 79

Semi-finals

1	Greece (C1)	Turkey (A1)	68 : 94
2	Germany (B1)	Finland (B3)	98 : 86

Final

1

Turkey (A1)

Germany (B1)

83 : 88

3rd place

2

Greece (C1)

Finland (B3)

92 : 89