Result
31:17
14/03/2026 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Six Nations - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Ireland | RTE 2, RTE News, RTE Player, Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
 Italy | TV8 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, Virgin TV Go app |
 Usa | Peacock TV Premium, Peacock |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 25 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 100 | 105 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 295 | 445 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (21 - 0)
- 12', Garbisi P. (Missed Penalty),
- 15', Wainwright A. (Try),
- 16', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Wainwright A. (Try),
- 26', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 29', Lake D. (Try),
- 30', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Francis T. ↓, Griffin A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (10 - 17)
- 44', Edwards D. (Try),
- 45', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 45', Lake D. ↓, Elias R. ↑,
- 45', Fischetti D. ↓, Spagnolo M. ↑,
- 45', Nicotera G. ↓, Di Bartolomeo T. ↑,
- 45', Hasa M. ↓, Zilocchi G. ↑,
- 48', Edwards D. (Drop Goal),
- 51', Carre R. ↓, Smith N. ↑,
- 52', Di Bartolomeo T. (Try),
- 52', Griffin A. 🟨,
- 53', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Fusco A. ↓, Varney S. ↑,
- 61', Di Bartolomeo T. ↓, Nicotera G. ↑,
- 63', Cannone L. ↓, Odiase D. ↑,
- 63', Pani L. ↓, Allan T. ↑,
- 64', Carter B. ↓, Beard A. ↑,
- 68', Edwards D. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 69', Allan T. (Try),
- 70', Garbisi P. (Missed Conversion),
- 70', Cannone N. ↓, Favretto R. ↑,
- 70', Menoncello T. ↓, Marin L. ↑,
- 71', Mann A. ↓, Cracknell O. ↑,
- 78', Williams T. ↓, Hardy K. ↑,
- 78', Mee E. ↓, Murray B. ↑,
- 78', Spagnolo M. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
- 80+1', Garbisi P. (Try),
- 80+2', Garbisi P. (Missed Conversion),
Chances of winning
Wales
56.4% | Draw
5.6% | Italy
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wales's performance.Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Wales - Italy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.9) |
20.7 ↓
(20.87) |
3.49 ↑
(1.47) |
-17.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
What is the prediction for Wales - Italy?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 3 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Italy will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:25.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wales won 2.
- Wales may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Italy could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wales won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 511:223. (average 31.9:13.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Wales won against Italy?
Wales has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Italy won against Wales?
Italy has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wales - Italy were as follows:
08.02.2025
Italy
-
Wales
22:15
16.03.2024
Wales
-
Italy
21:24
11.03.2023
Italy
-
Wales
17:29
Six Nations Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | France | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 218:93 | 21 |
| 2 | England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 179:105 | 20 |
| 3 | Ireland | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 135:117 | 19 |
| 4 | Scotland | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 115:131 | 11 |
| 5 | Italy | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 106:188 | 5 |
| 6 | Wales | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 76:195 | 3 |
