Italy W vs Lithuania W, EuroBasket Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Women Italy W - Lithuania W
Result
65:51
21/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket Women - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia, RAI Sport, Sky Sport Uno
lithuaniaLithuaniaTV3, TV3 Play

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6555
Field Goals Made
2116
Field Goals %
32.3%29.1%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4341
2-Point Field Goals Made
1415
2-Point Field Goals %
32.6%36.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2214
3-Point Field Goals Made
71
3-Point Field Goals %
31.8%7.1%
Free Throws Attempted
2324
Free Throws Made
1618
Free Throws %
69.6%75%
Offensive Rebounds
1313
Defensive Rebounds
2630
Total Rebounds
3943
Assists
138
Blocks
63
Turnovers
615
Steals
116
Personal Fouls
2322

Chances of winning


Italy W
74%
Lithuania W
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Italy W's performance.
  • Lithuania W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lithuania W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy W than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Italy W that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lithuania W than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lithuania W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Italy W - Lithuania W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.42)

    3.58
    (2.78)
    4.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 136.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
  • What is the prediction for Italy W - Lithuania W?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lithuania will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 73:64.
  • Preview Facts
    • Italy is Qualified for EuroBasket Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Lithuania is Qualified for EuroBasket Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Italy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lithuania has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Italy is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Italy W
    19.06.2025 Italy W - Slovenia W 77:66
    18.06.2025 Serbia W - Italy W 61:70
    13.06.2025 Italy W - Montenegro W 79:41
    10.06.2025 Czech Republic W - Italy W 48:74
    23.05.2025 Belgium W - Italy W 83:70
    Latest results of Lithuania W
    19.06.2025 Lithuania W - Serbia W 74:63
    18.06.2025 Slovenia W - Lithuania W 71:77
    12.06.2025 Greece W - Lithuania W 87:59
    11.06.2025 Great Britain W - Lithuania W 60:78
    06.06.2025 Lithuania W - Sweden W 67:73
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1France W (A1)Lithuania W (B2)83 : 61
    2Spain W (D1)Czech Republic W (C2)88 : 81
    3Italy W (B1)Turkey W (A2)76 : 74
    4Belgium W (C1)Germany W (D2)83 : 59

    Semi-finals
    1France W (A1)Spain W (D1)64 : 65
    2Italy W (B1)Belgium W (C1)64 : 66

    Final
    1Spain W (D1)Belgium W (C1)65 : 67

    3rd place
    2France W (A1)Italy W (B1)54 : 69