Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
08/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A3 - Round 12

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 🟥,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Joaninha ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 78', 0 - 2, Alyson Motta ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 3, Guilherme J. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Itapirense
26.9%
Draw
30.3%
EC São Bernardo
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 29.7% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 29.1% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Itapirense - EC São Bernardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (3.14)
    3
    (3.04)
    2.13
    (2.18)
    10%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Itapirense - EC São Bernardo?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Itapirense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • EC São Bernardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • EC São Bernardo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Itapirense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Itapirense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Itapirense - EC São Bernardo were as follows:
    15.03.2025 EC São Bernardo - Itapirense 1:1
    24.01.2024 Itapirense - EC São Bernardo 1:1
    Latest results of Itapirense
    Latest results of EC São Bernardo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1MariliaEC Sao Bernardo3 : 0, 0 : 2
    2XV de JauRio Claro2 : 0, 1 : 0
    3Portuguesa SantistaPaulista2 : 0, 1 : 2
    4Rio PretoUniao Barbarense0 : 0, 3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MariliaXV de Jau0 : 0
    2Portuguesa SantistaRio Preto1 : 0