Itapirense vs Matonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
02/03/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 11

Chances of winning


Itapirense
79.8%
Draw
13.3%
Matonense
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 22.8% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9% 20.8% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itapirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Itapirense's performance.
  • Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Itapirense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Itapirense - Matonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.41)
    6.87
    (4)
    13.05
    (7.27)
    9.7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).
    • Recent matches Itapirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Matonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Itapirense is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Itapirense
    Latest results of Matonense
    28.02.2024 Matonense - Catanduva 0:1
    24.02.2024 São Caetano - Matonense 4:1
    21.02.2024 Matonense - Marília 0:6
    10.02.2024 Sertãozinho - Matonense 2:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa Santista1080218:81024
    2Marilia1064016:41222
    3Rio Claro1063113:7621
    4XV de Jau1052312:9317
    5Rio Preto1045115:11417
    6Catanduva1044213:9416
    7Uniao Barbarense1044210:9116
    8EC Sao Bernardo1043311:8315
    9Paulista1033411:11012
    10Uniao Sao Joao103349:9012
    11Rio Branco SP102448:13-510
    12Bandeirante102447:13-610
    13Francana102178:14-67
    14Itapirense1013610:17-76
    15Desportivo101365:16-116
    16Uniao Suzano101278:16-85

          Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A4