Itapirense vs Matonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Itapirense - Matonense
Result
4:0
02/03/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 11

Chances of winning


Itapirense
79.8%
Draw
13.3%
Matonense
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 22.8% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9% 20.8% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itapirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Itapirense's performance.
  • Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Itapirense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Itapirense - Matonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.41)
    6.87
    (4)
    13.05
    (7.27)
    9.7%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).
    • Recent matches Itapirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Matonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Itapirense is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Itapirense
    Latest results of Matonense
    28.02.2024 Matonense - Catanduva 0:1
    24.02.2024 São Caetano - Matonense 4:1
    21.02.2024 Matonense - Marília 0:6
    10.02.2024 Sertãozinho - Matonense 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1DesportivoRio Branco SP1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Monte AzulItapirense3 : 2, 0 : 0
    3SertaozinhoCatanduva0 : 0, 2 : 0
    4MariliaUniao Sao Joao3 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rio Branco SPMonte Azul1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2SertaozinhoMarilia0 : 1, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Monte AzulSertaozinho1 : 1, 1 : 3