Itapirense vs União São João – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Paulista Itapirense - União São João
Result
2:3
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Paulista - Round 6

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Emerson Crepaldi ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Vinicius Caveira ,
  • 31', 2 - 1, de Lima J. ,
  • 45+5', 2 - 2, Leo Machado ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 84', 🟥,
  • 90', 2 - 3, Rafael Tanque ,

Chances of winning


Itapirense
34.8%
Draw
28.2%
União São João
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 27.3% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 29.5% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itapirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for União São João, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Itapirense - União São João Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.37)
    3.21
    (3.33)
    2.46
    (2.65)
    10.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Itapirense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • União São João is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • União São João may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Itapirense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Itapirense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Itapirense - União São João were as follows:
    14.06.2025 União São João - Itapirense 0:1
    25.01.2025 União São João - Itapirense 0:1
    21.02.2024 Itapirense - União São João 2:4
    Latest results of Itapirense
    Latest results of União São João
    Brazilian Copa Paulista Table
    Main

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gremio Prudente844012:6616
    2Monte Azul84228:7114
    3Noroeste83237:7011
    4AEA Aracatuba82248:9-18
    5Linense81255:11-65


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uniao Sao Joao1054115:10519
    2Comercial1052313:9417
    3Inter de Limeira1035217:13414
    4Francana103528:8014
    5Botafogo SP B102358:12-49
    6Itapirense1021711:20-97


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba1073013:4924
    2Primavera1054115:9619
    3Paulista1041510:10013
    4Sao Bento1025312:14-211
    5Guarani B1022610:16-68
    6Rio Branco SP100556:13-75


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Jose EC1062219:71220
    2Portuguesa Santista1036111:8315
    3Oeste104248:10-214
    4Sao Caetano104158:11-313
    5Taubate102449:10-110
    6Santo Andre101544:13-98

          Promotion ~ Copa Paulista (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)