Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Alex Oliveira ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 70', 1 - 1, Andre d. S. R. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Itapirense
31.9% | Draw
31% | União São João
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itapirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Itapirense - União São João Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.5) |
2.93 ↓
(3.11) |
2.44 ↓
(2.7) |
10.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 10).
- Itapirense is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- União São João has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- União São João may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Itapirense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Itapirense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Itapirense won against União São João?
Itapirense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União São João won against Itapirense?
União São João has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itapirense - União São João were as follows:
19.07.2025
Itapirense
-
União São João
2:3
14.06.2025
União São João
-
Itapirense
0:1
25.01.2025
União São João
-
Itapirense
0:1
21.02.2024
Itapirense
-
União São João
2:4
Latest results of Itapirense
Latest results of União São João
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Marilia | EC Sao Bernardo | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | XV de Jau | Rio Claro | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Portuguesa Santista | Paulista | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Rio Preto | Uniao Barbarense | 0 : 0, 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Marilia | XV de Jau | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | Rio Preto | 1 : 0 |
