Ittihad Kalba vs Al Dhafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • UAE League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesADtv
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.731.92
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
54
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
26
Passes
85% (331/388)85% (323/379)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.731.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.941.58
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
611
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free kicks
118
Passes
85% (331/388)85% (323/379)
Long passes
60% (33/55)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
71% (69/97)73% (95/130)
Crosses
29% (2/7)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.78
Throw ins
2719
Fouls
811
Tackles
82% (9/11)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4336
Clearances
3719
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
1.580.94
Goals prevented
0.58-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Al Karbi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mohammed Z. , Yaslam R. ,
  • 61', Leandro Spadacio , Al Blooshi Y. ,
  • 62', Abunamous A. , Gassama S. ,
  • 69', Caio Eduardo 🟨,
  • 74', Yaslam R. , Marcelinho ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Al Blooshi Y. , Moghanlou S. (A),
  • 80', Bayesh I. , Ze Welinton ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Marcelinho , Al Karbi A. (A),
  • 88', Rashid W. , Rashid S. ,
  • 88', Nourollahi A. , Ghoddos S. ,

Chances of winning


Ittihad Kalba
45.1%
Draw
26%
Al Dhafra
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 26.3% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 25.8% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ittihad Kalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Al Dhafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ittihad Kalba than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Ittihad Kalba - Al Dhafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.14)
    3.52
    (3.53)
    3.17
    (3.07)
    9.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Ittihad Kalba - Al Dhafra?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ittihad Kalba (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Ittihad Kalba (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Ittihad Kalba will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ittihad Kalba (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ittihad Kalba won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ittihad Kalba won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ittihad Kalba won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ittihad Kalba - Al Dhafra were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Al Dhafra - Ittihad Kalba 3:0
    10.02.2023 Al Dhafra - Ittihad Kalba 0:2
    16.09.2022 Ittihad Kalba - Al Dhafra 2:0
    Latest results of Ittihad Kalba
    Latest results of Al Dhafra
    20.02.2026 Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:5
    13.02.2026 Al Bataeh - Al Dhafra 1:1
    06.02.2026 Al Dhafra - Khor Fakkan 2:3
    28.01.2026 Al Dhafra - Al-Sharjah 0:2
    19.01.2026 Ajman Club - Al Dhafra 1:1
    UAE Football League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai17133138:53342
    2Al Ain17125035:142141
    3Al Wahda1796228:141433
    4Al Jazira1894528:161231
    5Al Wasl1786321:16530
    6Ajman1872919:24-523
    7Al Nasr1757521:22-122
    8Ittihad Kalba1855819:28-920
    9Khorfakkan1754824:30-619
    10Al Dhafra18531024:37-1318
    11Al Sharjah17521022:32-1017
    12Al Bataeh17341017:27-1013
    13Dibba Al Fujairah16331015:31-1612
    14Bani Yas16321115:30-1511

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