Ituano U20 vs Sport Recife U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brasileiro U20 B Ituano U20 - Sport Recife U20
Result
4:5 penalties
21/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasileiro U20 B - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 3', 1 - 0, ,
  • 6', 2 - 0, ,
  • 9', 2 - 1, ,
  • 26', 2 - 2, ,
  • 45+2', 3 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 4 - 2, ,
  • 71', 4 - 3, ,
  • 82', 4 - 4, ,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ituano U20
46.7%
Draw
25.8%
Sport Recife U20
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 24.2% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 26.2% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ituano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituano U20's form might have worsened.
  • Sport Recife U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Recife U20's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano U20 than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife U20 than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Recife U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ituano U20 - Sport Recife U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.64)
    3.56
    (3.75)
    3.33
    (4.42)
    9.1%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Ituano U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sport Recife U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ituano U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ituano U20 is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ituano U20
    Latest results of Sport Recife U20
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Vila Nova FC U20 (A2)Avai U20 (B3)2 : 3
    2Ituano U20 (B1)Sport Recife U20 (A4)4 : 5
    3Vitoria U20 (A1)Ponte Preta U20 (B4)2 : 0
    4Criciuma U20 (B2)Goias U20 (A3)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Avai U20 (B3)Sport Recife U20 (A4)2 : 0
    2Vitoria U20 (A1)Criciuma U20 (B2)3 : 2

    Final
    1Avai U20 (B3)Vitoria U20 (A1)3 : 1