Ituano vs Água Santa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
18/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 11

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 89', Michel Bennech 🟥,
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, Alisson ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ituano
37.7%
Draw
30.8%
Água Santa
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 28.6% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 26.8% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Ituano - Água Santa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.2)
    2.95
    (3.2)
    2.89
    (3.07)
    10%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 1.
    • Ituano has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Água Santa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ituano might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ituano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - Água Santa were as follows:
    11.02.2024 Água Santa - Ituano 2:0
    05.02.2023 Ituano - Água Santa 0:3
    Latest results of Ituano
    14.02.2026 Piracicaba - Ituano 0:1
    08.02.2026 Ituano - Santo André 1:0
    01.02.2026 Taubaté - Ituano 0:1
    28.01.2026 CA Juventus - Ituano 1:1
    Latest results of Água Santa
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa ✔ 1491422:13928
    2Ferroviaria ✔ 1483321:111027
    3Sao Jose EC ✔ 1483320:11927
    4Ituano ✔ 1483319:11827
    5Votuporanguense ✔ 1473415:12324
    6Osasco Sporting1457221:16522
    7Juventus-SP1455420:19120
    8Sertaozinho1354415:18-319
    9Piracicaba1454511:14-319
    10Inter de Limeira1444614:16-216
    11Taubate1437421:22-116
    12Santo Andre1443712:20-815
    13Linense1426611:17-612
    14Monte Azul1325614:17-311
    15Gremio Prudente1418511:15-411
    16Sao Bento ✔ 1412116:21-155

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Paulista A3

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Agua Santa is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ferroviaria is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Jose EC is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Bento is Relegated to Paulista A3