Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Weriton 🟨,
- 9', Dija 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Neto Berola (Pen),
- 24', Felipe Muranga 🟨,
- 36', Renilson 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Maikon Aquino ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Weriton ↓, Lenon ↑,
- 46', Dija ↓, Kaio Mendes ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Luiz Otavio (Pen),
- 57', Felipe Muranga ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 65', Neto Oliveira ↓, Dionisio ↑,
- 68', Leo Passos 🟨,
- 69', Gabriel Razera ↓, Vinicius Popo ↑,
- 74', Renan ↓, Vicente ↑,
- 74', Maikon Aquino ↓, Jhon Cley ↑,
- 78', Jhon Cley 🟨,
- 79', Leo Passos ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 79', Neto Berola ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
- 82', Luiz Otavio ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 90+3', Vitinho 🟨,
- 90+5', Dionisio 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ituano
44.6% | Draw
30.1% | Confiança
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Ituano - Confiança Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.95) |
3.02 ↓
(3.18) |
3.61 ↓
(3.76) |
9.8%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ituano - Confiança?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ituano: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ituano will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
- Recent performances by Ituano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Confiança is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ituano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Confiança?
Ituano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Confiança won against Ituano?
Confiança has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - Confiança were as follows:
Latest results of Confiança
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | CSA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
| 10 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Ituano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
| 14 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Maringa FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | ABC | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 | Figueirense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Itabaiana | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 19 | Retro | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
