Ituano vs Confiança – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
35
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
118
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Weriton 🟨,
  • 9', Dija 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Neto Berola (Pen),
  • 24', Felipe Muranga 🟨,
  • 36', Renilson 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Maikon Aquino ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Weriton , Lenon ,
  • 46', Dija , Kaio Mendes ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Luiz Otavio (Pen),
  • 57', Felipe Muranga , Fernandinho ,
  • 65', Neto Oliveira , Dionisio ,
  • 68', Leo Passos 🟨,
  • 69', Gabriel Razera , Vinicius Popo ,
  • 74', Renan , Vicente ,
  • 74', Maikon Aquino , Jhon Cley ,
  • 78', Jhon Cley 🟨,
  • 79', Leo Passos , Ze Carlos ,
  • 79', Neto Berola , Walterson Silva ,
  • 82', Luiz Otavio , Vitinho ,
  • 90+3', Vitinho 🟨,
  • 90+5', Dionisio 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ituano
44.6%
Draw
30.1%
Confiança
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 28.8% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 29.7% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Ituano - Confiança Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.95)
    3.02
    (3.18)
    3.61
    (3.76)
    9.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ituano - Confiança?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ituano: 50.9%95.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS, 2nd Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS, 1st Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ituano will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
    • Recent performances by Ituano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Confiança is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ituano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ituano
    04.08.2025 Ituano - Londrina 1:0
    27.07.2025 Itabaiana - Ituano 3:1
    19.07.2025 Ituano - Botafogo PB 0:3
    13.07.2025 Guarani - Ituano 0:0
    05.07.2025 Ituano - Retrô Brasil 2:0
    Latest results of Confiança
    04.08.2025 Confiança - Anápolis 2:0
    27.07.2025 São Bernardo - Confiança 1:1
    20.07.2025 Confiança - Tombense 3:2
    12.07.2025 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Figueirense00000:000
    2Volta Redonda00000:000
    3Ituano00000:000
    4Santa Cruz00000:000
    5Itabaiana00000:000
    6Confianca00000:000
    7Guarani00000:000
    8Paysandu PA00000:000
    9Botafogo PB00000:000
    10Brusque00000:000
    11Ferroviaria00000:000
    12SER Caxias00000:000
    13Anapolis00000:000
    14Maranhao00000:000
    15Inter de Limeira00000:000
    16Maringa FC00000:000
    17Ypiranga FC00000:000
    18Floresta EC00000:000
    19Amazonas00000:000
    20Barra FC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D