Result
3:2
02/09/2024 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 24
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Canais Globo, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 24 | 22 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 464 | 360 |
| Completed Passes |
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| 384 | 286 |
| Attacks |
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| 79 | 73 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 38 | 31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Jose Aldo ⚽, Thonny Anderson (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Chico ⚽,
- 19', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
- 20', Felipe 🟨,
- 29', Guilherme Mariano 🟨,
- 45', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 61', Thonny Anderson ↓, Alvaro ↑,
- 61', Bruno Xavier ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
- 64', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
- 67', Jose Aldo ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Ze Roberto (Pen),
- 73', Ortiz C. 🟨,
- 75', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
- 75', Igor Carius 🟨,
- 78', Guilherme Lazaroni 🟨,
- 83', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 83', Rodrigo ↓, de Almeida J. V. X. ↑,
- 83', Ze Roberto 🟨,
- 85', Igor Carius ↓, Allyson ↑,
- 86', 3 - 1, Ze Roberto ⚽, Chrystian Barletta (A),
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Alvaro ⚽,
- 90+7', Wellington Silva ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 90+7', Rafael Thyere ↓, Luciano Castan ↑,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife 63.1% | Draw 22.3% | Ituano 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Recife's form might have worsened.Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Sport Recife - Ituano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↑ (1.3) |
4.19 ↓ (4.5) |
6.45 ↓ (8.5) |
7.1% (10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Ituano?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Ituano will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 55.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Recife is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Ituano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Recife is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Recife: Palacios H.
(Injury)
Pedro Martins
(Injury)
Rafael Thyere
(Injury)
Romarinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ituano: Eduardo Diniz
(Injury)
Eduardo Person
(Injury)
Lipe
(Injury)
Madison
(Injury)
Salatiel
(Injury)
Ze Carlos
(Injury)
Ze Eduardo
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Ituano?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Sport Recife?
Ituano has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Ituano were as follows:
15.05.2024
Ituano
-
Sport Recife
1:0
25.08.2023
Sport Recife
-
Ituano
1:2
14.05.2023
Ituano
-
Sport Recife
1:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 35:21 | 14 | 60 |
| 2 | Remo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 55 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 43:30 | 13 | 54 |
| 6 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 52 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 50 |
| 9 | CRB | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 39:34 | 5 | 48 |
| 10 | Avai | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 48 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | America MG | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 35 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 34 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )