Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera C - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Gimenez E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', 1 - 1, Alcalde M. ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Faillace A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ituzaingó
58.1% | Draw
27.1% | El Porvenir
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-16.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ituzaingó that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Porvenir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ituzaingó - El Porvenir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.69) |
3.37 ↓
(3.4) |
6.15 ↑
(5.02) |
9.6%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ituzaingó is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ituzaingó won against El Porvenir?
Ituzaingó has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Porvenir won against Ituzaingó?
El Porvenir has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituzaingó - El Porvenir were as follows:
24.08.2024
El Porvenir
-
Ituzaingó
0:0
27.03.2024
Ituzaingó
-
El Porvenir
1:4
Latest results of Ituzaingó
Latest results of El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ituzaingo | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 29:15 | 14 | 33 |
| 3 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 33 |
| 4 | Berazategui | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 23:13 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | Leandro N. Alem | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Claypole | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Mercedes | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 24 |
| 9 | Deportivo Muniz | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9:11 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Def. de Cambaceres | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 14:21 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | Lugano | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | El Porvenir | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 18 |
| 13 | Puerto Nuevo | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 13:34 | -21 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Camioneros | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Lujan | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Estrella Del Sur | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 30 |
| 4 | Juventud Unida S. M | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 29 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Argentino de Rosario | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 28 |
| 7 | Atlas | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25:33 | -8 | 23 |
| 8 | Canuelas | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:23 | -9 | 21 |
| 10 | Yupanqui | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | General Lamadrid | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 |
| 12 | CSR Espanol | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Victoriano A | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | Central Ballester | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Primera C (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )
