Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Maza J. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Vielma P. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Moreira A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Lugano
29.8% | Draw
32.2% | Ituzaingó
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituzaingó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugano - Ituzaingó Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.45) |
2.81 ↓
(3) |
2.38 ↓
(2.7) |
10.5%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Lugano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ituzaingó is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Ituzaingó?
Lugano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituzaingó won against Lugano?
Ituzaingó has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Ituzaingó were as follows:
29.03.2025
Ituzaingó
-
Lugano
2:0
05.10.2024
Lugano
-
Ituzaingó
1:1
04.05.2024
Ituzaingó
-
Lugano
2:0
Latest results of Ituzaingó
Draw
Qualification - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Claypole | Central Ballester | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Canuelas | Lugano | 3 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | CSR Espanol | Victoriano A. | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Muniz | Yupanqui | 1 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Mercedes | Deportivo Paraguayo | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Atlas | Def. de Cambaceres | 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
