Lugano vs Ituzaingó – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Maza J. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Vielma P. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Moreira A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lugano
29.8%
Draw
32.2%
Ituzaingó
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 30% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 31.7% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.
  • Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituzaingó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lugano - Ituzaingó Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.45)
    2.81
    (3)
    2.38
    (2.7)
    10.5%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Lugano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ituzaingó is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Ituzaingó were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Ituzaingó - Lugano 2:0
    05.10.2024 Lugano - Ituzaingó 1:1
    04.05.2024 Ituzaingó - Lugano 2:0
    Latest results of Lugano
    Latest results of Ituzaingó
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui734011:4713
    2Estrella Del Sur733110:6412
    3Sacachispas740311:8312
    4Def. de Cambaceres732210:7311
    5Lugano73229:6311
    6Mercedes73225:4111
    7Puerto Nuevo72418:6210
    8CSR Espanol723210:649
    9Victoriano A72323:219
    10Leandro N. Alem72238:17-98
    11Justo Jose de Urquiza71424:7-37
    12Deportivo Paraguayo72145:13-87
    13Argentino de Rosario71337:8-16
    14Juventud Unida S. M71334:8-46


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Yupanqui73318:6212
    2General Lamadrid73317:5212
    3Leones de Rosario73316:6012
    4Claypole73226:5111
    5Central Ballester731310:7310
    6Sportivo Barracas73138:6210
    7Canuelas72417:6110
    8Deportivo Espanol71516:518
    9Central Cordoba71423:4-17
    10El Porvenir60607:706
    11Club Lujan71335:7-26
    12Fenix61324:7-36
    13Deportivo Muniz70434:8-44
    14Atlas70432:7-54

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )