Lugano vs Ituzaingó – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Maza J. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Vielma P. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Moreira A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lugano
29.8%
Draw
32.2%
Ituzaingó
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 30% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 31.7% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.
  • Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituzaingó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lugano - Ituzaingó Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.45)
    2.81
    (3)
    2.38
    (2.7)
    10.5%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Lugano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ituzaingó is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Ituzaingó were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Ituzaingó - Lugano 2:0
    05.10.2024 Lugano - Ituzaingó 1:1
    04.05.2024 Ituzaingó - Lugano 2:0
    Latest results of Lugano
    Latest results of Ituzaingó
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui1054116:7919
    2Sacachispas951315:11416
    3Victoriano A104339:5415
    4Estrella Del Sur1043311:11015
    5Mercedes103526:5114
    6Lugano1034311:10113
    7Def. de Cambaceres1034310:9113
    8CSR Espanol933311:7412
    9Puerto Nuevo1026210:11-112
    10Leandro N. Alem1033414:21-712
    11Deportivo Paraguayo103348:15-712
    12Justo Jose de Urquiza91625:8-39
    13Argentino de Rosario91539:10-18
    14Juventud Unida S. M101547:12-58


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1General Lamadrid104519:6317
    2Yupanqui1044211:8316
    3Leones de Rosario1044211:10116
    4Canuelas1036110:7315
    5Claypole104339:7215
    6El Porvenir1028011:9214
    7Central Ballester1041512:11113
    8Central Cordoba103436:6013
    9Sportivo Barracas93249:8111
    10Atlas102537:10-311
    11Deportivo Espanol916210:1009
    12Club Lujan91536:8-28
    13Fenix101454:11-77
    14Deportivo Muniz90635:9-46

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )