ITZ Sport vs Luminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Maranhense - Round 6

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Indio Potiguar ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 67', 0 - 2, Rato C. ,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


ITZ Sport
30.3%
Draw
32.2%
Luminense
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 29.9% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 29.7% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ITZ Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Luminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ITZ Sport than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luminense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ITZ Sport - Luminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (2.8)
    2.81
    (2.95)
    2.42
    (2.28)
    10.5%
    (13.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Maranhense 2 and 6 in the zone Maranhense (Relegation))
    • ITZ Sport is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Luminense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Luminense might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of ITZ Sport
    25.01.2026 ITZ Sport - Tuntum 0:2
    21.01.2026 Maranhão - ITZ Sport 1:0
    11.01.2026 IAPE - ITZ Sport 1:0
    Latest results of Luminense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Moto ClubIAPE0 : 2, 1 : 2
    2MaranhaoSampaio Correa0 : 2, 3 : 0

    Final
    1IAPEMaranhao1 : 0, 0 : 0