Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA US Open Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini
Result
0:2
27/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumHBO Max, HBO Max
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaHBO Max
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaEurosport 2, HBO Max
croatiaCroatiaHBO Max
czech-republicCzech-republicEurosport 2, HBO Max
denmarkDenmarkEurosport 2, HBO Max
finlandFinlandEurosport 2, HBO Max
franceFranceEurosport 2, HBO Max
germanyGermanyEurosport 2, Sky Sport Top Event
hungaryHungaryEurosport 2, HBO Max
italyItalyEurosport 2, Super Tennis
moldovaMoldovaHBO Max
montenegroMontenegroHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsHBO Max
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaHBO Max
norwayNorwayEurosport 2, HBO Max
polandPolandEurosport 2, HBO Max
portugalPortugalEurosport 2
romaniaRomaniaEurosport 2, HBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainEurosport 2, HBO Max
swedenSwedenEurosport 2, HBO Max
turkeyTurkeyEurosport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
53%66%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (16/28)62% (31/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (10/25)42% (11/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)82% (9/11)
Average 1st Serve Speed
146 km/h148 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
132 km/h127 km/h
1st Return Points Won
38% (19/50)43% (12/28)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (15/26)60% (15/25)
Break Points Converted
18% (2/11)50% (5/10)
Winners
1518
Unforced Errors
2718
Net Points Won
78% (7/9)82% (9/11)
Service Points Won
49% (26/53)56% (42/75)
Return Points Won
44% (33/75)51% (27/53)
Total Points Won
46% (59/128)54% (69/128)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
44% (4/9)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)56% (5/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)
Distance Covered (metres)
13211250

Chances of winning


Iva Jovic
28.1%
Jasmine Paolini
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3% 73.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iva Jovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iva Jovic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (2.88)

    1.33
    (1.34)
    5.1%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Jovic will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Paolini will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 55.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jovic is ranked WTA: 73. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.
    • Jovic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paolini is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Paolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Paolini is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Paolini will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini 1:2
    Latest results of Iva Jovic
    Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)2 : 0
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    6Hon P.Li A.0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)2 : 0
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)1 : 2
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.2 : 1
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (9)Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    3Pegula J. (4)Li A.2 : 0
    4Krejcikova B.Townsend T.2 : 1
    5Kostyuk M. (27)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    6Osaka N. (23)Gauff C. (3)2 : 0
    7Anisimova A. (8)Haddad Maia B. (18)2 : 0
    8Alexandrova E. (13)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)Vondrousova M.
    2Pegula J. (4)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    3Muchova K. (11)Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    4Anisimova A. (8)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pegula J. (4)2 : 1
    2Osaka N. (23)Anisimova A. (8)1 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (8)2 : 0