Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Vladyslav Orlov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 13:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
64
1st serve percentage
65%50%
1st serve points won
63% (54/86)65% (36/55)
2nd serve points won
40% (19/47)54% (29/54)
Break Points Saved
11/176/11
1st return points won
36% (20/55)37% (32/86)
2nd return points won
46% (25/54)60% (28/47)
Break Points Converted
5/116/17
Winners
2124
Unforced errors
6478
Net points won
50% (1/2)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
55% (73/132)59% (64/108)
Return Points Won
41% (44/108)45% (59/132)
Total Points Won
49% (117/240)51% (123/240)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
65% (11/17)69% (11/16)
Return games won
31% (5/16)35% (6/17)
Total games won
48% (16/33)52% (17/33)

Chances of winning


Ivan Marrero Curbelo
53.1%
Vladyslav Orlov
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ivan Marrero Curbelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Vladyslav Orlov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ivan Marrero Curbelo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vladyslav Orlov than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vladyslav Orlov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Vladyslav Orlov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.87)

    1.99
    (1.87)
    7.3%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Vladyslav Orlov?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 540. Orlov is ranked ATP: 529.
    • Marrero Curbelo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Orlov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Orlov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marrero Curbelo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Vladyslav Orlov