Mali vs Ivory Coast, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations Mali - Ivory Coast
Result
1:2 ET
03/02/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFRICA: AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Adel M. (Egy)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
cameroonCameroonCRTV
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
swedenSwedenViaplay

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mali
28.1%
Draw
33.1%
Ivory Coast
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 32.2% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 31.5% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Ivory Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mali than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivory Coast than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Mali - Ivory Coast Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (3.6)
    2.87
    (3)
    2.46
    (2.36)
    5.2%
    (3.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Mali - Ivory Coast?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mali will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Ivory Coast will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.5%81.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mali won 1.
    • Mali is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Ivory Coast is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mali could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ivory Coast will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Mali won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mali - Ivory Coast were as follows:
    12.09.2023 Ivory Coast - Mali Abandoned
    Latest results of Mali
    30.01.2024 Mali - Burkina Faso 2:1
    24.01.2024 Namibia - Mali 0:0
    20.01.2024 Tunisia - Mali 1:1
    16.01.2024 Mali - South Africa 2:0
    06.01.2024 Mali - Guinea Bissau 6:2
    Latest results of Ivory Coast
    29.01.2024 Senegal - Ivory Coast 1:2
    18.01.2024 Ivory Coast - Nigeria 0:1
    06.01.2024 Ivory Coast - Sierra Leone 5:1
    Draw
    Qualification

    Final
    1SomaliaEswatini2 : 2, 0 : 3
    2Sao Tome and PrincipeSouth Sudan0 : 0, 1 : 1
    3ChadMauritius2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4DjiboutiLiberia0 : 0, 0 : 2