Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Sagan Tosu - Iwaki
28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
71% (244/343)72% (284/396)
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
76
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
39
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
199
Passes
71% (244/343)72% (284/396)
Fouls
713
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Endo R. , Dohana K. ,
  • 30', Shirai H. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Morishita R. , Arai H. (A),
  • 37', Yamashita Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Onishi Y. , Kase N. ,
  • 62', Matsumoto N. , Nishiya K. ,
  • 71', Yamada H. , Shinkawa S. ,
  • 71', Nishizawa K. , Suzuki D. ,
  • 87', Kumata N. , Kato T. ,
  • 87', Ishida Y. , Yamada Y. ,
  • 87', Shibata S. , Kim Hyun-woo ,
  • 88', Nagasawa S. , Imazu Y. ,
  • 88', Nishikawa J. , Horigome Y. ,

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
39.7%
Draw
29.9%
Iwaki
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 29.1% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Sagan Tosu - Iwaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.26)
    3.07
    (3.22)
    3.05
    (3.2)
    8.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Iwaki?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Iwaki will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tosu: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Iwaki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 13).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Iwaki has had a series of home games.
    • Tosu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tosu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Iwaki were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Iwaki - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    21.06.2025 Omiya Ardija - Sagan Tosu 0:0
    11.06.2025 Sagan Tosu - Ehime 1:0
    31.05.2025 Sagan Tosu - Ehime 2:2
    Latest results of Iwaki
    21.06.2025 Iwaki - Kataller Toyama 3:1
    15.06.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi - Iwaki 2:2
    11.06.2025 Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita 1:2
    01.06.2025 Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto 5:1
    25.05.2025 Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai 1:2
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito24146437:191848
    2Chiba24126635:231242
    3Vegalta Sendai24119428:21742
    4Omiya Ardija24118534:211341
    5Tokushima24118524:131141
    6V-Varen Nagasaki24109539:35439
    7Sagan Tosu24116725:22339
    8Iwata24115837:32538
    9Imabari24810628:23534
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo241041031:39-834
    11Kofu2488824:23132
    12Fujieda MYFC24771028:32-428
    13Iwaki2469930:34-427
    14Oita Trinita2469920:24-427
    15Blaublitz24831332:43-1127
    16Montedio Yamagata24751234:36-226
    17Kumamoto24661228:37-924
    18Toyama24571219:29-1022
    19Renofa Yamaguchi243111021:30-920
    20Ehime242101223:41-1816

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