Jabaquara vs Comercial SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 1, ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Jabaquara
24.9%
Draw
30.1%
Comercial SP
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 30.9% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 30.5% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jabaquara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Jabaquara - Comercial SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.65
    (3.14)
    3.01
    (2.93)
    2.01
    (2.25)
    10.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).
    • Recent performances by Jabaquara have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Comercial SP is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Comercial SP will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Jabaquara
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Inter de Bebedouro (1)Lemense (8)2 : 0
    2Sao-Carlense (4)Barretos EC (5)1 : 1
    3Sao Caetano (2)Jacarei FC (7)0 : 0
    4Penapolense (3)Taquaritinga (6)1 : 1