Jabaquara vs Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
14/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 10

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, ,
  • 82', 🟥,
  • 85', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Jabaquara
20.7%
Draw
30.1%
Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.4% 28.5% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9% 27.8% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jabaquara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Jabaquara - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.34
    (4.7)
    2.99
    (3.2)
    1.83
    (1.75)
    11.1%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Jabaquara has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • São-Carlense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jabaquara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, São-Carlense is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jabaquara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Jabaquara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jabaquara - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Jabaquara 0:1
    16.03.2024 Jabaquara - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense 1:2
    Latest results of Jabaquara
    08.03.2026 ECUS - Jabaquara 1:0
    25.02.2026 Jabaquara - Barretos 0:1
    21.02.2026 Tanabi - Jabaquara 2:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Bebedouro ✔ 1283118:41427
    2Sao Caetano ✔ 1282218:81026
    3Penapolense1273215:9624
    4Barretos EC1264210:7322
    5Lemense1262413:9420
    6Sao-Carlense1254314:11319
    7Jacarei FC1254310:8219
    8Taquaritinga1253415:10518
    9Tanabi1245310:6417
    10ECUS SP124539:6317
    11Comercial1242613:13014
    12Jabaquara122379:16-79
    13Vocem121656:12-69
    14Colorado Caieiras121566:16-108
    15Nacional SP122197:20-137
    16AEA Aracatuba121296:24-185

          Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Sao Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)