Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 18
- Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (286/377) | 75% (280/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (286/377) | 75% (280/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/71) | 49% (34/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (74/119) | 63% (76/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 34% (11/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.57 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Sakala B. 🟨,
- 43', Kovarik J. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Chramosta J. ⚽, Alegue A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ristovski M. ↓, Yusuf ↑,
- 46', Zeman V. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
- 66', Innocenti N. ↓, Soucek D. ↑,
- 66', Chramosta J. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
- 67', Kadlec A. ↓, Drchal V. ↑,
- 67', Kovarik J. ↓, Smrz V. ↑,
- 75', Jawo L. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
- 80', Sinyavskiy V. 🟨,
- 84', Sakala B. ↓, Plestil D. ↑,
- 87', Alegue A. ↓, Suchan J. ↑,
- 87', Zorvan F. ↓, Stepanek D. ↑,
- 90', Rusek A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jablonec
44.7% | Draw
27.9% | Bohemians 1905
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jablonec's form might have worsened.Bohemians 1905 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bohemians 1905's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jablonec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bohemians 1905 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bohemians 1905, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jablonec - Bohemians 1905 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.77) |
3.37 ↓
(3.64) |
3.45 ↓
(4.34) |
6.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jablonec - Bohemians 1905?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Jablonec will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 2.
- Jablonec has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bohemians is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jablonec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jablonec is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Jablonec: Nebyla S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bohemians: Matousek J.
(Injury)
Okeke N.
(Yellow Cards)
Plestil D.
(Injury)
Vala D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Jablonec: Polidar M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Bohemians 1905?
Jablonec has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bohemians 1905 won against Jablonec?
Bohemians 1905 has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jablonec - Bohemians 1905 were as follows:
10.08.2025
Bohemians 1905
-
Jablonec
0:1
02.02.2025
Jablonec
-
Bohemians 1905
0:1
24.08.2024
Bohemians 1905
-
Jablonec
1:2
12.05.2024
Bohemians 1905
-
Jablonec
1:1
30.03.2024
Bohemians 1905
-
Jablonec
2:0
Latest results of Jablonec
Latest results of Bohemians 1905
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 50:18 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Plzen | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Liberec | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Karvina | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Hradec Kralove | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Zlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Teplice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Pardubice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 19 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 14:34 | -20 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
