Result
3:3
23/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 16
- Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (169/260) | 79% (326/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (169/260) | 79% (326/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/70) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 73% (123/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 34% (11/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.49 | -1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Doski M. ⚽, Memic A. (A),
- 10', 0 - 2, Valenta M. ⚽, Ladra T. (A),
- 17', Spacil K. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 2, Rusek A. ⚽, Novak F. (A),
- 23', 2 - 2, Alegue A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', 3 - 2, Rusek A. ⚽, Alegue A. (A),
- 62', 3 - 3, Souare C. ⚽, Valenta M. (A),
- 64', Sedlacek R. ↓, Zorvan F. ↑,
- 64', Jawo L. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
- 73', Soucek D. ↓, Stepanek D. ↑,
- 77', Durosinmi R. ↓, Adu P. ↑,
- 77', Ladra T. ↓, Visinsky D. ↑,
- 82', Alegue A. ↓, Chramosta J. ↑,
- 82', Rusek A. ↓, Suchan J. ↑,
- 85', Souare C. ↓, Vydra M. ↑,
- 88', Kozel L. 🟨,
- 90', Zorvan F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Chanturishvili V. 🟨,
- 90+2', Valenta M. ↓, Havel M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jablonec
28.2% | Draw
27.8% | Viktoria Plzeň
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jablonec's form might have worsened.Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jablonec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-4%)
Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(2.77) |
3.4 ↓
(3.49) |
2.2 ↓
(2.36) |
5.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Jablonec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Jablonec: Nebyla S.
(Knee Injury)
Tekijaski N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Plzeň: Kopic J.
(Knee Injury)
Paluska J.
(Surgery)
Panos J.
(Convalescence)
- There are questionable in Plzeň: Vydra M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:42. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Viktoria Plzeň?
Jablonec has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Viktoria Plzeň won against Jablonec?
Viktoria Plzeň has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň were as follows:
26.07.2025
Viktoria Plzeň
-
Jablonec
1:1
24.05.2025
Viktoria Plzeň
-
Jablonec
4:1
01.12.2024
Viktoria Plzeň
-
Jablonec
3:2
03.08.2024
Jablonec
-
Viktoria Plzeň
0:0
02.04.2024
Jablonec
-
Viktoria Plzeň
0:3
Latest results of Jablonec
Latest results of Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 27 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 67 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56:30 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Plzen ✔ | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Liberec | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Hradec Kralove | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:44 | -11 | 32 |
| 10 | Zlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:51 | -11 | 30 |
| 12 | Teplice | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Bohemians | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20:34 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 16:38 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
