Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 2
- Referee: Nehasil L. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/352) | 82% (362/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/352) | 82% (362/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (59/114) | 75% (74/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Jedlicka M. ↓, Wiegele F. ↑,
- 24', Kozel L. 🟨,
- 27', Alegue A. 🟨,
- 36', Spacil K. 🟨,
- 45+8', 1 - 0, Vydra M. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
- 45+9', Novak F. ↓, Stepanek D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Jawo L. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
- 61', Soucek D. ↓, Chramosta J. ↑,
- 62', Vydra M. ↓, Adu P. ↑,
- 73', Ladra T. ↓, Valenta M. ↑,
- 73', Memic A. ↓, Havel M. ↑,
- 75', Alegue A. ↓, Lavrincik S. ↑,
- 75', Nebyla S. ↓, Innocenti N. ↑,
- 83', Stepanek D. ↓, Polidar M. ↑,
- 89', Durosinmi R. ↓, Kabongo C. ↑,
- 89', Sulc P. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
- 90', Martinec J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Tekijaski N. ⚽, Martinec J. (A),
Chances of winning
Viktoria Plzeň
63.6% | Draw
21.1% | Jablonec
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Viktoria Plzeň - Jablonec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.54) |
4.45 ↑
(4.26) |
6.1 ↑
(5.35) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Viktoria Plzeň - Jablonec?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jablonec will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 3 - 60%). Jablonec (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 4.
- Plzeň is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jablonec has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Plzeň may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Jablonec has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Plzeň is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Plzeň: Hejda L.
(Convalescence)
Souare C.
(Convalescence)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:19. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plzeň won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:11. (average 2.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Viktoria Plzeň won against Jablonec?
Viktoria Plzeň has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Viktoria Plzeň?
Jablonec has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Viktoria Plzeň - Jablonec were as follows:
24.05.2025
Viktoria Plzeň
-
Jablonec
4:1
01.12.2024
Viktoria Plzeň
-
Jablonec
3:2
03.08.2024
Jablonec
-
Viktoria Plzeň
0:0
02.04.2024
Jablonec
-
Viktoria Plzeň
0:3
17.03.2024
Jablonec
-
Viktoria Plzeň
1:2
Latest results of Viktoria Plzeň
Latest results of Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Zlin | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Karvina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Jablonec | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Liberec | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Plzen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Teplice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Slovacko | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 12 | Hradec Kralove | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Dukla Prague | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 14 | Mlada Boleslav | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
