Jack Draper vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Result
1:2
10/04/2025 at 05:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
51
Double Faults
100
1st Serve Percentage
48%63%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (30/47)59% (44/74)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (25/51)59% (26/44)
Break Points Saved
54% (7/13)75% (12/16)
Average 1st Serve Speed
194 km/h186 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
148 km/h154 km/h
1st Return Points Won
41% (30/74)36% (17/47)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (18/44)51% (26/51)
Break Points Converted
25% (4/16)46% (6/13)
Winners
3230
Unforced Errors
4657
Net Points Won
71% (12/17)78% (18/23)
Service Points Won
56% (55/98)59% (70/118)
Return Points Won
41% (48/118)44% (43/98)
Total Points Won
48% (103/216)52% (113/216)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Jack Draper
64.9%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.1% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.57)

    2.7
    (2.36)
    5.2%
    (6.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 48.6%80.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Draper is ranked ATP: 6. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 42.
    • Draper is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Davidovich Fokina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Draper will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jack Draper
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2