Guodong Xiao vs Jack Lisowski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
25/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Welsh Open - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkEurosport 1
finlandFinlandEurosport 1
franceFranceEurosport 1
germanyGermanyEurosport 1
hungaryHungaryEurosport 1
italyItalyEurosport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsEurosport 1
norwayNorwayEurosport 1
polandPolandEurosport 1
romaniaRomaniaEurosport 1
spainSpainEurosport 1
turkeyTurkeyEurosport 1

Chances of winning


Guodong Xiao
56.2%
Jack Lisowski
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guodong Xiao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Jack Lisowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guodong Xiao than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Lisowski than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Guodong Xiao - Jack Lisowski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.64)

    2.1
    (2.1)
    8%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Xiao is ranked World Ranking: 10. Lisowski is ranked World Ranking: 22.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xiao won 3.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lisowski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Xiao won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:36. (average 3.3:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guodong Xiao - Jack Lisowski were as follows:
    28.01.2026 Jack Lisowski - Guodong Xiao 1:5
    22.01.2026 Guodong Xiao - Jack Lisowski 3:2
    06.11.2024 Jack Lisowski - Guodong Xiao 3:6
    01.03.2023 Jack Lisowski - Guodong Xiao 3:1
    03.02.2023 Jack Lisowski - Guodong Xiao 5:3
    Latest results of Guodong Xiao
    Latest results of Jack Lisowski
    Draw
    Main

    1/32-finals
    1Selby M.Jun J.3 : 4
    2Yuan S.Leclercq J.4 : 3
    3Si JiahuiWilliams R.2 : 4
    4Maguire S.Walden R.4 : 3
    5O'Connor J.Hill A.4 : 0
    6Wu Y.Mertens B.4 : 0
    7Lei P.Emery D.3 : 4
    8Allen M.Grace D.2 : 4
    9Williams M.Holt M.4 : 2
    10Ford T.O'Donnell M.2 : 4
    11Hawkins B.Lilley D.4 : 3
    12Pang J.Kowalski A.4 : 2
    13Carter A.McGill A.3 : 4
    14Jones JakHighfield L.4 : 1
    15Vafaei H.Zizins A.4 : 1
    16Robertson N.Szubarczyk M.4 : 1
    17Wilson K.Liu H.4 : 1
    18Zhou Y.Ursenbacher A.4 : 0
    19Wilson G.Sarkhosh A.4 : 0
    20Slessor E.Craigie S.3 : 4
    21Zhang A.Mann M.4 : 2
    22Wakelin C.Pullen L.3 : 4
    23Day R.Revesz B.3 : 4
    24Higgins J.Wenwei L.4 : 1
    25Murphy S.Chang B.0 : 4
    26Page J.Brecel L.4 : 0
    27Xiao G.Zehuang L.4 : 3
    28Lisowski J.Heathcote L.4 : 2
    29Gilbert D.McGuigan R.4 : 1
    30Bingham S.Yang G.4 : 2
    31Robertson J.Moody S.0 : 4
    32Zhao X.Fan Z.4 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Jun J.Yuan S.4 : 0
    2Williams R.Maguire S.4 : 3
    3O'Connor J.Wu Y.2 : 4
    4Emery D.Grace D.1 : 4
    5Williams M.O'Donnell M.4 : 1
    6Hawkins B.Pang J.4 : 2
    7McGill A.Jones Jak2 : 4
    8Vafaei H.Robertson N.1 : 4
    9Wilson K.Zhou Y.1 : 4
    10Wilson G.Craigie S.1 : 4
    11Zhang A.Pullen L.4 : 2
    12Revesz B.Higgins J.3 : 4
    13Chang B.Page J.3 : 4
    14Xiao G.Lisowski J.3 : 4
    15Gilbert D.Bingham S.2 : 4
    16Moody S.Zhao X.2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1Jun J.Williams R.4 : 1
    2Wu Y.Grace D.4 : 0
    3Williams M.Hawkins B.2 : 4
    4Jones JakRobertson N.3 : 4
    5Zhou Y.Craigie S.4 : 1
    6Zhang A.Higgins J.2 : 4
    7Page J.Lisowski J.2 : 4
    8Bingham S.Zhao X.4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jun J.Wu Y.4 : 5
    2Hawkins B.Robertson N.5 : 3
    3Zhou Y.Higgins J.0 : 5
    4Lisowski J.Bingham S.5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Wu Y.Hawkins B.
    2Higgins J.Lisowski J.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2