Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Paris Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev
Result
0:2
27/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
112
1st Serve Percentage
68%58%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (28/47)71% (20/28)
2nd Serve Points Won
23% (5/22)65% (13/20)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
29% (8/28)40% (19/47)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (7/20)77% (17/22)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)50% (5/10)
Winners
159
Unforced Errors
195
Net Points Won
90% (9/10)71% (10/14)
Service Points Won
48% (33/69)69% (33/48)
Return Points Won
31% (15/48)52% (36/69)
Total Points Won
41% (48/117)59% (69/117)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
44% (4/9)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)56% (5/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Jacob Fearnley
41.3%
Andrey Rublev
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacob Fearnley's performance.
  • Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Rublev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.62)

    1.6
    (1.46)
    5.5%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Rublev will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Andrey Rublev will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.
    • Fearnley is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rublev has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rublev will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev