Result
1:2
09/06/2025 at 06:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 76% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (37/50) | 77% (50/65) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 40% (8/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 33% (1/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (16/65) | 28% (14/50) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 54% (20/37) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 50% (4/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 55% (6/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (53/86) | 68% (58/85) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (27/85) | 38% (33/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (80/171) | 53% (91/171) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 86% (12/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 55% (16/29) |
Chances of winning
Jacob Fearnley
49.7% | Brandon Nakashima
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacob Fearnley's form might have worsened.Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacob Fearnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jacob Fearnley - Brandon Nakashima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.68) |
|
1.87 ↓
(2.19) |
6.1%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Jacob Fearnley - Brandon Nakashima?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Nakashima will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fearnley: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Fearnley is ranked ATP: 55. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32.
- Fearnley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nakashima is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Jacob Fearnley won against Brandon Nakashima?
Jacob Fearnley has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brandon Nakashima won against Jacob Fearnley?
Brandon Nakashima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jacob Fearnley - Brandon Nakashima were as follows:
Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Fognini F. (WC) | Moutet C. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tien L. | Nishioka Y. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Fearnley J. | Nakashima B. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Dzumhur D. (RET.) | Herbert P. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Arnaldi M. | Struff J-L. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bonzi B. | Lehecka J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Michelsen A. (7) | Monfils G. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Engel J. (WC) | Duckworth J. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Safiullin R. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | |
| 13 | Shapovalov D. (5) | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Hanfmann Y. (Q) | Fucsovics M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Halys Q. | Sonego L. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Fritz T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Moutet C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tien L. | Nakashima B. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (3) | Herbert P. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Struff J-L. | Lehecka J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Michelsen A. (7) | Engel J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rinderknech A. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Halys Q. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Nakashima B. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shelton B. (3) | Lehecka J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Engel J. | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Shelton B. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
