Jacob Fearnley vs James Duckworth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Phoenix Challenger Men Jacob Fearnley - James Duckworth
Result
2:0
12/03/2025 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
05
1st Serve Percentage
64%59%
1st Serve Points Won
85% (41/48)76% (31/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (14/27)48% (14/29)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
29% (12/41)15% (7/48)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (15/29)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)0% (0/5)
Service Points Won
73% (55/75)64% (45/70)
Return Points Won
36% (25/70)27% (20/75)
Total Points Won
55% (80/145)45% (65/145)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Jacob Fearnley
70.7%
James Duckworth
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacob Fearnley's performance.
  • James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James Duckworth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacob Fearnley that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Duckworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jacob Fearnley - James Duckworth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.53)

    3.17
    (2.38)
    6.8%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Jacob Fearnley - James Duckworth?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Duckworth will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fearnley: 84.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81. Duckworth is ranked ATP: 97.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Duckworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Fearnley will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
    Latest results of James Duckworth
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Bye
    2Fearnley J.Duckworth J.2 : 0
    3Smith C. (WC)Shevchenko A. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Eubanks C. (Alt)Safiullin R. (7)0 : 2
    5Martinez P. (3)Bye
    6Moutet C.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    7Hijikata R.Holt B. (WC)2 : 0
    8Bublik A.Vukic A. (5)2 : 1
    9Rinderknech A. (8)Opelka R. (Alt)1 : 2
    10Walton A.Gaston H.0 : 2
    11Kotov P.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    12ByeStruff J-L. (4)
    13Nardi L. (6)Nishikori K.0 : 2
    14Kukushkin M. (Q)Uchiyama Y. (Q)2 : 0
    15Tu L. (Q)Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    16ByeCobolli F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    2Smith C.Safiullin R. (7)2 : 0
    3Martinez P. (3)Moutet C.0 : 2
    4Hijikata R.Bublik A.1 : 2
    5Opelka R.Gaston H.0 : 2
    6Fonseca J.Struff J-L. (4)2 : 1
    7Nishikori K.Kukushkin M. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Spizzirri E.Cobolli F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Smith C.2 : 0
    2Moutet C.Bublik A.1 : 2
    3Gaston H.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    4Nishikori K.Cobolli F. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Bublik A.0 : 2
    2Fonseca J.Nishikori K.2 : 0

    Final
    1Bublik A.Fonseca J.0 : 2