Jacob Fearnley vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
37
1st Serve Percentage
65%49%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (29/39)65% (26/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (11/21)45% (19/42)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)71% (10/14)
1st Return Points Won
35% (14/40)26% (10/39)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (23/42)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
29% (4/14)25% (1/4)
Winners
1010
Unforced Errors
915
Net Points Won
61% (11/18)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
67% (40/60)55% (45/82)
Return Points Won
45% (37/82)33% (20/60)
Total Points Won
54% (77/142)46% (65/142)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Jacob Fearnley
54.1%
Matteo Arnaldi
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 52.1%

Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.73
(1.88)

2.04
(1.87)
6.8%
(6.7%)
What is the prediction for Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 72.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Norrie C.Baez S.2 : 0
    3Marozsan F.Rinderknech A. (WC)0 : 2
    4Vacherot V. (WC)Lehecka J. (14)2 : 0
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    6Muller A.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    7Altmaier D.Giron M.2 : 0
    8ByeRuud C. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)Bye
    10Vukic A. (Q)Atmane T. (WC)2 : 1
    11Moutet C.Opelka R. (LL)2 : 1
    12Popyrin A.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (10)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Shapovalov D.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    15Griekspoor T.Diallo G.0 : 2
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Musetti L. (7)Bye
    18Sonego L.Korda S. (Q)2 : 0
    19Mpetshi Perricard G.Dimitrov G.0 : 2
    20Munar J.Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Royer V. (LL)2 : 1
    22Darderi L.Cazaux A. (WC)0 : 2
    23Etcheverry T. M. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.0 : 2
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Shelton B. (5)Bye
    26Cobolli F.Machac T.2 : 0
    27Tien L.Borges N.2 : 0
    28Fearnley J. (Q)Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F.Dzumhur D. (Q)2 : 0
    30Kovacevic A. (LL)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    31Michelsen A.Bergs Z.1 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C.1 : 2
    2Rinderknech A.Vacherot V.1 : 2
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    4Altmaier D.Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Fritz T. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    6Moutet C.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    7Khachanov K. (10)Fonseca J.2 : 1
    8Diallo G.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Musetti L. (7)Sonego L.1 : 2
    10Dimitrov G.Medvedev D. (WO.) (11)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Cazaux A.2 : 0
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (5)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16Bergs Z.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Norrie C.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    3Fritz T. (4)Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    4Khachanov K. (10)De Minaur A. (6)0 : 2
    5Sonego L.Medvedev D. (11)1 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Shelton B. (5)Rublev A. (12)2 : 0
    8Cerundolo F.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vacherot V.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)0 : 2
    2Bublik A. (13)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 1
    3Medvedev D. (11)Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Shelton B. (5)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Bublik A. (13)2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2