Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Paris - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 49% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (29/39) | 65% (26/40) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 45% (19/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 71% (10/14) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (14/40) | 26% (10/39) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (23/42) | 48% (10/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 25% (1/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 45% (5/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (40/60) | 55% (45/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (37/82) | 33% (20/60) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (77/142) | 46% (65/142) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 35% (7/20) |
Chances of winning
Jacob Fearnley 54.1% | Matteo Arnaldi 45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacob Fearnley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↓ (1.88) |
|
2.04 ↑ (1.87) |
6.8% (6.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jacob Fearnley will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 72.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Jacob Fearnley won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Jacob Fearnley has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Jacob Fearnley?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi