Jacopo Vasami vs Lorenzo Carboni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
29/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
65%63%
1st serve points won
61% (20/33)81% (22/27)
2nd serve points won
33% (6/18)63% (10/16)
Break Points Saved
7/110/0
1st return points won
19% (5/27)39% (13/33)
2nd return points won
38% (6/16)67% (12/18)
Break Points Converted
0/04/11
Winners
1211
Unforced errors
3615
Net points won
33% (1/3)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
51% (26/51)74% (32/43)
Return Points Won
26% (11/43)49% (25/51)
Total Points Won
39% (37/94)61% (57/94)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (4/8)100% (8/8)
Return games won
0% (0/8)50% (4/8)
Total games won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Jacopo Vasami
56.1%
Lorenzo Carboni
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jacopo Vasami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacopo Vasami that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jacopo Vasami - Lorenzo Carboni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.68)

    2.13
    (2.04)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Vasami is ranked ATP: 554. Carboni is ranked ATP: 483.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Vasami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ribecai M. (LL)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (Q)Kasnikowski M. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Squire H.Poljicak M. (SE)0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Giustino L. (7)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    6Bailly G. A.Coppejans K.0 : 2
    7Fatic N.Bondioli F. (WC)2 : 0
    8Forti F. (Q)Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    9Bertola R. (8)Gentzsch T.2 : 0
    10Dalla Valle E. (WC)Chazal M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Ajdukovic D. (Alt)Neumayer L.0 : 2
    12Nagal S.Samuel T. (3)0 : 2
    13Cecchinato M. (6)Romano F. (WC)2 : 0
    14Gill F.Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    15Mrva M.Krumich M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Dhamne M. (Q)Blanchet U. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ribecai M.Guerrieri A.
    2TBD #3Giustino L. (7)
    3Glinka D. (4)Coppejans K.
    4Fatic N.Sachko V. (5)
    5Bertola R. (8)Dalla Valle E.
    6Neumayer L.Samuel T. (3)
    7Cecchinato M. (6)Gill F.
    8Krumich M.Blanchet U. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2