Jacuipense vs Porto SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Baiano Jacuipense - Porto SC
Result
5:0
19/02/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilTVE Bahia

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
128
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
32
Corner Kicks
98
Goalkeeper Saves
64
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, ,
  • 20', Pedro Dias 🟨,
  • 45+3', Cesinha 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 52', Thiago 🟨,
  • 57', Rafael Sales 🟨,
  • 57', Matheus Firmino 🟨,
  • 59', Jefferson Baiano , Flavinho ,
  • 59', Alison Daniel , William ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Cesinha ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, Hugo Moura ,
  • 86', 4 - 0, Mizael Junior ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 89', Patyego 🟥,
  • 90+2', 5 - 0, Vinicius Amaral ,

Chances of winning


Jacuipense
54.6%
Draw
27.2%
Porto SC
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 35% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 33.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jacuipense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacuipense's performance.
  • Porto SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacuipense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto SC than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Jacuipense - Porto SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.12)
    3.36
    (2.6)
    5.04
    (4.11)
    9.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
    • Jacuipense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Porto is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Jacuipense is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jacuipense
    Latest results of Porto SC
    02.02.2025 Porto SC - Jequié 1:2
    30.01.2025 Juazeirense - Porto SC 0:2
    26.01.2025 Bahia - Porto SC 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Vitoria (1)Alagoinhas (4)3 : 0, 4 : 0
    2Jacuipense (2)Bahia (3)0 : 5, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Vitoria (1)Bahia (3)1 : 1, 0 : 2