Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 26
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Strike, Strike |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (582/656) | 66% (157/238) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (582/656) | 66% (157/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 33% (20/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (332/385) | 43% (24/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (6/53) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', Gallapeni D. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Bazdar S. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, Juric D. ⚽, Gallapeni D. (A),
- 33', 1 - 2, Juric D. ⚽, Gallapeni D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pelmard A. ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
- 65', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
- 65', Nahuel M. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 65', Bazdar S. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
- 70', Gallapeni D. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
- 76', Hamulic S. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
- 78', Pozo A. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
- 87', Savvidis K. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,
- 90+5', Pacheco D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
58% | Draw
24.3% | Wisła Płock
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia Białystok that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.68) |
3.83 ↑
(3.26) |
5.26 ↑
(4.6) |
7.1%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock?
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 2.
- Recent performances by Jagiellonia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wisła Płock is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Jagiellonia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Jozwiak K.
(Injury)
Stojinovic D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J.
(Foot Injury)
Mijuskovic N.
(Yellow Cards)
Salvador I.
(Inactive)
Sekulski L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Piekutowski M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Wisła Płock?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Wisła Płock has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock were as follows:
19.09.2025
Wisła Płock
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:1
21.04.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:4
14.01.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:1
07.10.2022
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Wisła Płock
1:1
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
