Result
0:1
19/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (226/288) | 87% (383/440) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (226/288) | 87% (383/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (31/55) | 56% (20/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (61/91) | 73% (92/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
- 46', Lozano S. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
- 62', Prip L. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
- 62', Rallis D. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
- 69', Jimenez J. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
- 73', Flach L. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 76', Pacheco D. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Pululu A. (Pen),
- 83', Rogelj Z. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
- 84', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
- 84', Kun D. ↓, Kalandadze A. ↑,
- 90+5', Pozo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wisła Płock
14.8% | Draw
34% | Jagiellonia Białystok
51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Płock's form might have worsened.Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia Białystok's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+23%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10 ↑
(2.49) |
3.91 ↑
(3.45) |
2.47 ↓
(2.6) |
-23.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Jagiellonia (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Wisła Płock has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Wisła Płock?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
21.04.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:4
14.01.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:1
07.10.2022
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Wisła Płock
1:1
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
