Wisła Płock vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
0:1
19/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 9
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
spainSpainGolStadium
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.69
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
78% (226/288)87% (383/440)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.421.54
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2629
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
813
Passes
78% (226/288)87% (383/440)
Long passes
56% (31/55)56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
67% (61/91)73% (92/126)
Crosses
37% (7/19)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.141.00
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
138
Tackles
55% (6/11)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3740
Clearances
2325
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
84
xGOT faced
1.540.42
Goals prevented
0.540.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kobayashi Y. , Vital B. ,
  • 46', Lozano S. , Romanczuk T. ,
  • 62', Prip L. , Pozo A. ,
  • 62', Rallis D. , Pululu A. ,
  • 69', Jimenez J. , Djalo M. ,
  • 73', Flach L. , Drachal D. ,
  • 76', Pacheco D. , Tavares T. ,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Pululu A. (Pen),
  • 83', Rogelj Z. , Pomorski K. ,
  • 84', Lecoeuche Q. , Custovic K. ,
  • 84', Kun D. , Kalandadze A. ,
  • 90+5', Pozo A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wisła Płock
14.8%
Draw
34%
Jagiellonia Białystok
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 26.9% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 27.3% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Płock's form might have worsened.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia Białystok's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+23%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10
    (2.49)
    3.91
    (3.45)
    2.47
    (2.6)
    -23.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    21.04.2023 Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:4
    14.01.2023 Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1
    07.10.2022 Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock 1:1
    Latest results of Wisła Płock
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1171318:9922
    2Jagiellonia1063119:13621
    3Cracovia1053218:12618
    4Korona Kielce1153315:10518
    5Wisla Plock1053212:7518
    6Lech Poznan1053218:16218
    7Legia1043313:9415
    8Radomiak Radom1143420:19115
    9Rakow1042412:13-114
    10Zaglebie1034321:16513
    11Widzew Lodz1141617:15213
    12Pogon Szczecin1141616:20-413
    13Arka Gdynia113357:15-812
    14Motor Lublin1025311:16-511
    15Termalica B-B1123615:21-69
    16GKS Katowice1122711:22-118
    17Piast Gliwice91448:11-37
    18Lechia Gdansk1133519:26-77

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1