Result
0:1
19/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Spain | GolStadium |
Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 1.69 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
78% (226/288) | 87% (383/440) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 1.69 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.42 | 1.54 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
78% (226/288) | 87% (383/440) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (31/55) | 56% (20/36) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (61/91) | 73% (92/126) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (7/19) | 33% (6/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.14 | 1.00 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (6/11) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
8 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.54 | 0.42 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.54 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
- 46', Lozano S. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
- 62', Prip L. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
- 62', Rallis D. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
- 69', Jimenez J. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
- 73', Flach L. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 76', Pacheco D. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Pululu A. (Pen),
- 83', Rogelj Z. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
- 84', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
- 84', Kun D. ↓, Kalandadze A. ↑,
- 90+5', Pozo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wisła Płock 14.8% | Draw 34% | Jagiellonia Białystok 51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Płock's form might have worsened.Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia Białystok's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+23%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
10 ↑ (2.49) |
3.91 ↑ (3.45) |
2.47 ↓ (2.6) |
-23.9% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Wisła Płock has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Wisła Płock?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
21.04.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:4
14.01.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:1
07.10.2022
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Wisła Płock
1:1
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Cracovia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 18 |
4 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
6 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Legia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
8 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 15 |
9 | Rakow | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
11 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
12 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Arka Gdynia | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
15 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1