Result
2:3
29/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- III Liga - Group I - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Kempski M. ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 2, Tkaczyk J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 68', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 78', 2 - 3, Kempski M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia II Białystok
40% | Draw
26.5% | Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jagiellonia II Białystok's form might have worsened.Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jagiellonia II Białystok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.85) |
3.43 ↓
(3.65) |
2.72 ↓
(3.27) |
9.8%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 1.
- Jagiellonia II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tomaszów Mazowiecki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jagiellonia II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia II Białystok won against Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki?
Jagiellonia II Białystok has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki won against Jagiellonia II Białystok?
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki were as follows:
08.08.2025
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
-
Jagiellonia II Białystok
1:1
05.04.2025
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
-
Jagiellonia II Białystok
3:1
07.09.2024
Jagiellonia II Białystok
-
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
3:1
15.05.2024
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
-
Jagiellonia II Białystok
7:0
21.10.2023
Jagiellonia II Białystok
-
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
1:1
Latest results of Jagiellonia II Białystok
Latest results of Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Legia II | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 56:19 | 37 | 47 |
| 2 | Warta Sieradz | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | LKS Lomza | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 40 |
| 4 | Zabki | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 56:30 | 26 | 38 |
| 5 | Suwalki | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 34:24 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Plock II | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 30 |
| 7 | Bron Radom | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:32 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | Swit Mazowiecki | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31:36 | -5 | 27 |
| 9 | Troszyn | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 25 |
| 10 | T. Mazowiecki | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 24 |
| 11 | Olimpia Elblag | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia II | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 20 |
| 14 | GKS Belchatow | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 34:44 | -10 | 20 |
| 15 | Mlawa | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 28:39 | -11 | 17 |
| 16 | Wikielec | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:40 | -24 | 13 |
| 18 | Biala Piska | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12:54 | -42 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Division 2
Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
