Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki vs Jagiellonia II Białystok: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Division 3 - Group I Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok
Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : III Liga - Group I - Round 24
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Mystkowski P. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Ziarek A. ,
  • 36', 2 - 1, Kempski M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 70', 3 - 1, Pienkowski M. ,

Chances of winning


Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
48.7%
Draw
24.7%
Jagiellonia II Białystok
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 25% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 24.4% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2)
    3.69
    (3.6)
    3.42
    (3)
    9.9%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1.
    • Tomaszów Mazowiecki is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Jagiellonia II is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Tomaszów Mazowiecki will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:12 (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:1 (average 3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 3:1
    15.05.2024 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok 7:0
    21.10.2023 Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 1:1
    14.05.2023 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok 1:1
    08.10.2022 Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Ol. GrudziadzBye
    2Blekitni StargardKluczbork3 : 0
    3Zaglebie IIBye
    4Podhale Nowy TargLegia II3 : 2

    Final
    1Ol. GrudziadzBlekitni Stargard2 : 0, 2 : 0
    2Zaglebie IIPodhale Nowy Targ1 : 3, 3 : 2
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