Jagiellonia II Białystok vs Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia II Białystok
55%
Draw
23.4%
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 26% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 24.1% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia II Białystok's performance.
  • Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.79)
    3.79
    (3.41)
    4.1
    (3.6)
    12.9%
    (13%)
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 2.
    • Jagiellonia II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Świt has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Świt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Jagiellonia II is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Jagiellonia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok 3:2
    23.11.2024 Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki 5:2
    03.08.2024 Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok 1:0
    17.03.2024 Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki 1:0
    23.08.2023 Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok 2:2
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Legia II24193265:214460
    2Warta Sieradz25174448:232555
    3LKS Lomza25164558:243452
    4Suwalki25144747:351246
    5Troszyn25125862:372541
    6Plock II24125740:37341
    7Zabki251221159:471238
    8T. Mazowiecki251051051:401135
    9Olimpia Elblag25961036:45-933
    10Jagiellonia II24951030:31-132
    11Bron Radom25871031:45-1431
    12Swit Mazowiecki25941235:44-931
    13Widzew Lodz II24931247:54-730
    14GKS Belchatow25851241:52-1129
    15Wikielec24751226:37-1126
    16Mlawa25671239:49-1025
    17Wasilkow25421926:59-3314
    18Biala Piska24222018:79-618

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