Result
3:2
11/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- III Liga - Group I - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia II Białystok
66.3% | Draw
19.3% | Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia II Białystok's performance.Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-12.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia II Białystok that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.79) |
4.7 ↑
(3.41) |
6.3 ↑
(3.6) |
10.1%
(13%) | |
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 2.
- Jagiellonia II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Świt's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jagiellonia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jagiellonia II is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Jagiellonia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia II Białystok won against Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki?
Jagiellonia II Białystok has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki won against Jagiellonia II Białystok?
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki were as follows:
20.09.2025
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
-
Jagiellonia II Białystok
3:2
23.11.2024
Jagiellonia II Białystok
-
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
5:2
03.08.2024
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
-
Jagiellonia II Białystok
1:0
17.03.2024
Jagiellonia II Białystok
-
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
1:0
23.08.2023
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
-
Jagiellonia II Białystok
2:2
Latest results of Jagiellonia II Białystok
Latest results of Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Legia II | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 73:22 | 51 | 72 |
| 2 | Warta Sieradz | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 59 |
| 3 | LKS Lomza | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 56 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 50 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 66:41 | 25 | 47 |
| 6 | Plock II | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 47 |
| 7 | T. Mazowiecki | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 57:43 | 14 | 42 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Zabki | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 63:53 | 10 | 39 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 58:60 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 40:52 | -12 | 35 |
| 12 | Olimpia Elblag | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | GKS Belchatow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 46:59 | -13 | 31 |
| 14 | Mlawa | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 46:51 | -5 | 31 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 31 |
| 16 | Wikielec | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 31:45 | -14 | 29 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 32:65 | -33 | 20 |
| 18 | Biala Piska ✔ | 28 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19:85 | -66 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Division 2
Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Biala Piska is Relegated to
