Ursus Warszawa vs Jagiellonia II Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group I Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok
Result
2:0
24/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 30

Chances of winning


Ursus Warszawa
23.9%
Draw
23.4%
Jagiellonia II Białystok
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 25.3% 47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 23.6% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia II Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (3.4)
    3.88
    (3.6)
    1.7
    (1.9)
    10.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Ursus Warszawa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Jagiellonia II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ursus Warszawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Jagiellonia II is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa 1:0
    Latest results of Ursus Warszawa
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zabki1191140:172328
    2Warta Sieradz1181221:101125
    3Legia II1181229:181125
    4LKS Lomza1172226:121423
    5Plock II1152419:15417
    6Bron Radom1245317:16117
    7Swit Mazowiecki1151519:23-416
    8Suwalki1143415:17-215
    9GKS Belchatow1143422:26-415
    10T. Mazowiecki1142519:15414
    11Widzew Lodz II1142521:26-514
    12Wasilkow1141613:22-913
    13Wikielec1133513:18-512
    14Olimpia Elblag1125414:19-511
    15Mlawa1225519:26-711
    16Jagiellonia II1124512:18-610
    17Troszyn1123621:23-29
    18Biala Piska1102910:29-192

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation