Ursus Warszawa vs Jagiellonia II Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group I Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok
Result
2:0
24/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 30

Chances of winning


Ursus Warszawa
23.9%
Draw
23.4%
Jagiellonia II Białystok
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 25.3% 47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 23.6% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia II Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (3.4)
    3.86
    (3.6)
    1.72
    (1.9)
    10.7%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Ursus Warszawa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Jagiellonia II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ursus Warszawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Jagiellonia II is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa 1:0
    Latest results of Ursus Warszawa
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zabki11006:243
    2Legia II11004:133
    3Swit Mazowiecki11003:033
    4Jagiellonia II11003:123
    5LKS Lomza11002:113
    6Troszyn11002:113
    7GKS Belchatow10102:201
    8Olimpia Elblag10102:201
    9Bron Radom10102:201
    10Biala Piska10102:201
    11Wikielec00000:000
    12Widzew Lodz II00000:000
    13Warta Sieradz10011:2-10
    14Plock II10011:2-10
    15Suwalki10011:3-20
    16T. Mazowiecki10011:4-30
    17Wasilkow10010:3-30
    18Mlawa10012:6-40

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