Ursus Warszawa vs Jagiellonia II Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 30

Chances of winning


Ursus Warszawa
23.9%
Draw
23.4%
Jagiellonia II Białystok
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 25.3% 47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 23.6% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia II Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (3.4)
    3.86
    (3.6)
    1.72
    (1.9)
    10.7%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Ursus Warszawa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Jagiellonia II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ursus Warszawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Jagiellonia II is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa 1:0
    Latest results of Ursus Warszawa
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Legia II22182263:204356
    2Warta Sieradz22153440:202048
    3LKS Lomza22144452:223046
    4Suwalki22123741:311039
    5Zabki22122858:362238
    6Plock II21114636:30637
    7Troszyn2295853:351832
    8Widzew Lodz II22931045:49-430
    9Swit Mazowiecki22931033:39-630
    10T. Mazowiecki2285945:36929
    11Jagiellonia II2285926:30-429
    12Bron Radom2277826:40-1428
    13Olimpia Elblag2176833:38-527
    14Wikielec21651022:31-923
    15GKS Belchatow22651136:50-1423
    16Mlawa22461233:46-1318
    17Wasilkow21421521:49-2814
    18Biala Piska22121914:75-615

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation