Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (397/474) | 74% (225/303) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (397/474) | 74% (225/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/52) | 52% (39/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (59/98) | 52% (47/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -1.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Ramirez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Renteria A. ⚽, Rodriguez Urango D. (A),
- 51', Pico L. 🟨,
- 52', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽, Balanta Carabali K. A. (A),
- 58', Ramirez D. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 58', Velasquez J. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
- 64', Henao C. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
- 64', Rodriguez Urango D. ↓, De La Rosa W. ↑,
- 68', Pulicastro F. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 68', Moreno Y. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 69', Ordonez C. 🟨,
- 72', Lenis K. ↓, Jimenez L. ↑,
- 81', Martinez J. ↓, Cajares J. ↑,
- 81', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 81', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Jopito ↑,
- 85', Balanta J. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Cuero S. (A),
- 90+5', Amaya A. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 90+6', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
60.2% | Draw
24.6% | Jaguares de Córdoba
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Jaguares de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.55) |
3.8 ↑
(3.71) |
6.12 ↓
(6.46) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza CEIF will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 15).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Jaguares de Córdoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fortaleza is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Jaguares de Córdoba?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaguares de Córdoba won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Jaguares de Córdoba has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba were as follows:
07.10.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
3:1
23.03.2024
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:1
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali ✔ | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas ✔ | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
