Result
2:2
11/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | SportKlub 9 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (264/337) | 87% (417/482) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (264/337) | 87% (417/482) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 62% (34/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (67/105) | 78% (105/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Bulic R. ⚽, Handwerker T. (A),
- 31', 1 - 2, Burnic D. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
- 39', Burnic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Egloff L. 🟨,
- 58', Ernst S. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
- 58', Hein B. ↓, Adamyan S. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Hottmann E. ⚽, Handwerker T. (A),
- 72', Egloff L. ↓, Ersungur A. ↑,
- 85', Ananou F. ↓, Kieffer B. ↑,
- 86', Hottmann E. ↓, Galjen D. ↑,
- 86', Herold D. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
- 86', Burnic D. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
- 90+6', Beifus M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jahn Regensburg
29.2% | Draw
24.9% | Karlsruher
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(3.25) |
3.77 ↓
(3.8) |
2.06 ↑
(2.05) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Regensburg (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karlsruher will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Regensburg (votes: 2 - 50%). Karlsruher (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 9).
- Regensburg is Relegated to 3. Liga
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 0.
- In recent matches, Regensburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Karlsruher is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Regensburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Karlsruher is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Regensburg: Breunig L.
(Muscle Injury)
Meyer M.
(Muscle Injury)
Proger K.
(Knee Injury)
Saller B.
(Pelvis Injury)
Schmidt C.
(Knee Injury)
Schonfelder O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Karlsruher: Hunziker A.
(Muscle Injury)
Jensen L.
(Yellow Cards)
Pfeiffer L.
(Injury)
Sihlaroglu E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Regensburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Jahn Regensburg won against Karlsruher?
Jahn Regensburg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karlsruher won against Jahn Regensburg?
Karlsruher has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher were as follows:
13.12.2024
Karlsruher
-
Jahn Regensburg
4:2
24.02.2023
Karlsruher
-
Jahn Regensburg
1:0
Latest results of Jahn Regensburg
Latest results of Karlsruher
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 48:28 | 20 | 64 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 54:38 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 | Hannover | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 53:37 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 55:40 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 48:59 | -11 | 40 |
| 10 | Bochum | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 45:44 | 1 | 39 |
| 11 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 40:43 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 50:50 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 35 |
| 14 | Braunschweig | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 34 |
| 15 | Dusseldorf | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 30:48 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 44:65 | -21 | 33 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:54 | -20 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
