Jahn Regensburg vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/03/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 5
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 4
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.30
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
73% (211/289)85% (462/546)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.361.21
Total shots
813
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1226
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1421
Passes
73% (211/289)85% (462/546)
Long passes
44% (28/63)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
56% (48/85)76% (94/124)
Crosses
29% (4/14)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.361.29
Fouls
2114
Tackles
48% (13/27)75% (6/8)
Duels won
5554
Clearances Total
1916
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.210.36
Goals prevented
0.21-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Antiste J. , Castrop J. (A),
  • 23', Knoche R. , Flick F. ,
  • 41', Geipl A. 🟨,
  • 42', Adamyan S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Geipl A. , Bulic R. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Flick F. (Own goal),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Ganaus N. ,
  • 59', Flick F. , Gruber F. ,
  • 59', Lubach R. , Schleimer L. ,
  • 63', Ananou F. , Viet C. ,
  • 72', Kuhlwetter C. 🟨,
  • 77', Ganaus N. , Ernst S. ,
  • 77', Antiste J. , Emreli M. ,
  • 77', Karafiat O. , Forkel D. ,
  • 86', Adamyan S. , Huth E. ,
  • 86', Handwerker T. , Proger K. ,
  • 90', Castrop J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Drexler T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Janisch T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Jahn Regensburg
27%
Draw
26.7%
Nürnberg
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 26.5% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 26.8% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (3.28)
    3.54
    (3.57)
    2.04
    (2.11)
    6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg?
  • Users Predictions: Nürnberg will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.18%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 0.
    • Regensburg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Nürnberg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Regensburg have a series of guest games.
    • Nürnberg will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Regensburg: Proger K. (Muscle Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:23 (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg 8:3
    11.02.2023 Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg 1:0
    Latest results of Jahn Regensburg
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    01.03.2025 Nürnberg - Hannover 1:2
    21.02.2025 Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg 0:0
    16.02.2025 Nürnberg - Ulm 1846 2:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke28167539:241555
    2Paderborn28166647:311654
    3Elversberg28157648:301852
    4Darmstadt281311450:321850
    5Hannover28148647:351250
    6Hertha Berlin28138743:331047
    7Kaiserslautern281341148:41743
    8Nurnberg281071138:38037
    9Karlsruher SC281071143:52-937
    10Bochum28891139:40-133
    11Arminia Bielefeld28871341:40131
    12Dusseldorf28941526:43-1731
    13Magdeburg28931643:51-830
    14Braunschweig28861430:45-1530
    15SG Dynamo Dresden28781345:47-229
    16Holstein Kiel28781334:42-829
    17Greuther Furth28851540:61-2129
    18Preussen Munster28691331:47-1627

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