Jaime Faria vs Elias Ymer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Porto Challenger Men Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer
Result
1:2
28/07/2025 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
143
Double Faults
141
1st Serve Percentage
49%64%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (49/58)66% (44/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (25/60)63% (24/38)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
34% (23/67)29% (17/58)
2nd Return Points Won
37% (14/38)58% (35/60)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)20% (2/10)
Winners
3518
Unforced Errors
7138
Net Points Won
71% (10/14)56% (10/18)
Service Points Won
63% (74/118)65% (69/106)
Return Points Won
35% (37/106)37% (44/118)
Total Points Won
50% (111/224)50% (113/224)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Jaime Faria
63.3%
Elias Ymer
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaime Faria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elias Ymer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.39)

    2.53
    (2.75)
    6.8%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ymer will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ymer (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Faria is ranked ATP: 119. Ymer is ranked ATP: 237.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Faria might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Faria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer 2:1
    Latest results of Jaime Faria
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Faria J. (1)Ymer E.1 : 2
    2Karatsev A.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    3Alvarez Varona N. (RET.) (SE)Soto M.1 : 1
    4Araujo P. (WC)Grenier H. (7)0 : 2
    5Huesler M. (3)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    6Sultanov K.Echargui M. (Q)1 : 2
    7Butvilas E.Yevseyev D.2 : 0
    8Soriano Barrera A. (Q)van Assche L. (8)0 : 2
    9Maestrelli F. (6)Torres T. (Q)2 : 1
    10Loffhagen G.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 1
    11McKennon M. (Q)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    12Escoffier A.Merida Aguilar D. (4)2 : 0
    13Rocha H. (5)Searle H. (Q)2 : 0
    14Albot R. (Alt)Coulibaly E.0 : 2
    15Cui J.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    16Elias G. (WC)Landaluce M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ymer E.Kukushkin M.2 : 1
    2Soto M.Grenier H. (7)0 : 2
    3Ferreira Silva F.Echargui M.0 : 2
    4Butvilas E.van Assche L. (8)2 : 0
    5Maestrelli F. (6)Loffhagen G.2 : 0
    6Pereira T.Escoffier A.1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (5)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    8Moro Canas A.Landaluce M. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ymer E.Grenier H. (7)1 : 2
    2Echargui M.Butvilas E.2 : 1
    3Maestrelli F. (6)Escoffier A.2 : 0
    4Rocha H. (5)Moro Canas A.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Grenier H. (7)Echargui M.0 : 2
    2Maestrelli F. (6)Moro Canas A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Echargui M.Maestrelli F. (6)2 : 0