Jaime Faria vs Jan Choinski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Nottingham Challenger Men Jaime Faria - Jan Choinski
Result
2:0
18/06/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
63
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
69%52%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (32/48)62% (18/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (11/22)44% (12/27)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
41% (12/29)35% (17/48)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (15/27)50% (11/22)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
61% (43/70)54% (30/56)
Return Points Won
46% (26/56)39% (27/70)
Total Points Won
55% (69/126)45% (57/126)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Jaime Faria
50.8%
Jan Choinski
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 63.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaime Faria's performance.
  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaime Faria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jaime Faria - Jan Choinski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.39)

    1.9
    (1.51)
    7.1%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Jaime Faria - Jan Choinski?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Choinski will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Faria is ranked ATP: 119. Choinski is ranked ATP: 208.
    • Faria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Choinski is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Choinski will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Jaime Faria
    16.06.2025 Brandon Holt - Jaime Faria 0:2
    11.06.2025 Matej Dodig - Jaime Faria Faria J. retired
    13.05.2025 Henrique Rocha - Jaime Faria Canceled
    06.05.2025 Jaime Faria - Carlos Taberner Faria J. retired
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1McCabe J. (Q)Loffhagen G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Trungelliti M. (SE)Smith C. (LL)1 : 2
    3Pinnington Jones J. (WC)Nava E.1 : 2
    4Peniston R. (WC)Galan D. E. (5)2 : 1
    5Holt B. (3)Faria J.0 : 2
    6Spizzirri E. (LL)Choinski J. (Q)1 : 2
    7Herbert P.Mochizuki S. (SE)0 : 2
    8Krueger M.Boyer T. (8)0 : 2
    9Cazaux A. (7)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    10Landaluce M.Budkov Kjaer N. (NG)2 : 1
    11Atmane T.Gigante M. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fognini F.Fery A. (Q)0 : 2
    13Barrios Vera T. (6)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    14Schoolkate T.Blockx A.2 : 0
    15Harris L. (PR)Royer V.2 : 0
    16Grenier H. (Q)Cilic M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1McCabe J.Smith C.1 : 2
    2Nava E.Peniston R.2 : 0
    3Faria J.Choinski J.2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Boyer T. (8)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A.Landaluce M.1 : 2
    6Atmane T.Fery A.2 : 1
    7Barrios Vera T. (6)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Harris L. (RET.)Cilic M. (2)1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Smith C.Nava E.2 : 1
    2Faria J.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    3Landaluce M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    4Barrios Vera T. (6)Cilic M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Smith C.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    2Landaluce M.Cilic M. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Mochizuki S.Cilic M. (2)0 : 2