Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	8
Double Faults
0	5
1st serve percentage
69%	59%
1st serve points won
71% (36/51)	74% (34/46)
2nd serve points won
61% (14/23)	31% (10/32)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)	50% (5/10)
1st return points won
30% (14/46)	29% (15/51)
2nd return points won
69% (22/32)	39% (9/23)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)	25% (2/8)
Winners
21	22
Unforced errors
22	32
Net points won
79% (11/14)	65% (11/17)
Service Points Won
68% (50/74)	56% (44/78)
Return Points Won
44% (34/78)	32% (24/74)
Total Points Won
55% (84/152)	45% (68/152)
Last 10 balls
6	4
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
85% (11/13)	62% (8/13)
Return games won
38% (5/13)	15% (2/13)
Total games won
62% (16/26)	38% (10/26)

Chances of winning

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
42.7%

Jakub Mensik
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.17)		1.67 ↓ (1.69)	4.2% (5.5%)

What is the prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Mensik will win (votes: 19 - 76%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 59.3% – 92.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Mensik (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Davidovich Fokina (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Mensik (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 19. Mensik is ranked ATP: 12.
Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Davidovich Fokina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Davidovich Fokina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won against Jakub Mensik?

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jakub Mensik won against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

Jakub Mensik has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik were as follows:

01.08.2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik 2:0

26.06.2025 Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0:2

16.01.2025 Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:3

28.02.2024 Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Mensik J. retired

20.02.2024 Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0

Latest results of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

06.03.2026 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Zachary Svajda 2:0 ✺

25.02.2026 Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0 ✺

23.02.2026 Daniel Altmaier - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0:2 ✺

13.02.2026 Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:1 ✺

11.02.2026 Alex Michelsen - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Jakub Mensik

06.03.2026 Marcos Giron - Jakub Mensik 0:2 ✺

26.02.2026 Jakub Mensik - Tallon Griekspoor 1:2 ✺

25.02.2026 Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin 2:0 ✺

24.02.2026 Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz 2:0 ✺

20.02.2026 Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Atmane T.	Dimitrov G.	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo J. M.	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
5	Vacherot V. (24)	Bye
6	Borges N.	Nava E.	2 : 0
7	Shevchenko A.	Shimabukuro S. (Q)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Ruud C. (13)
9	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
10	Zheng M. (WC)	Kopriva V. (LL)	0 : 2
11	Maestrelli F. (Q)	Hijikata R. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Darderi L. (20)
13	Norrie C. (27)	Bye
14	Arnaldi M.	McDonald M. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Korda S.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (6)
17	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
18	Majchrzak K.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 1
19	Hurkacz H.	Kovacevic A.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Moutet C. (31)
21	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
22	Royer V.	Bonzi B. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Marozsan F.	Bautista-Agut R.	1 : 2
24	Bye	Draper J. (14)
25	Medvedev D. (11)	Bye
26	Tabilo A.	Jodar R. (WC)	2 : 0
27	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Baez S.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (22)
29	Humbert U. (32)	Bye
30	Merida Aguilar D. (Q)	Michelsen A.	0 : 2
31	Fearnley J.	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Fritz T. (7)
33	Musetti L. (5)	Bye
34	Fucsovics M.	O'Connell C. (Q)	2 : 0
35	Prizmic D. (Q)	Schoolkate T. (Q)	2 : 1
36	Bye	Fils A. (30)
37	Rublev A. (17)	Bye
38	Bellucci M.	Diallo G.	0 : 2
39	Monfils G. (WC)	Galarneau A. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
41	Cobolli F. (15)	Bye
42	Altmaier D. (RET.)	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 1
43	Brooksby J.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
44	Bye	Tiafoe F. (21)
45	Nakashima B. (28)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C.	Damm M. (WC)	2 : 0
47	Berrettini M.	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Zverev A. (4)
49	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
50	Opelka R.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
51	Halys Q.	Walton A.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tien L. (25)
53	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
54	Svajda Z. (WC)	Cilic M.	2 : 0
55	Navone M.	Giron M.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Khachanov K. (16)	Bye
58	Fonseca J.	Collignon R.	2 : 0
59	Bergs Z.	Struff J-L.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Paul T. (23)
61	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Bye
62	Tsitsipas S.	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
63	Svrcina D. (Q)	Duckworth J.	2 : 0
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Dimitrov G.	2 : 0
2	Cerundolo J. M.	Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
3	Vacherot V. (24)	Borges N.	2 : 0
4	Shevchenko A.	Ruud C. (13)	0 : 2
5	Bublik A. (10)	Kopriva V.	2 : 1
6	Hijikata R.	Darderi L. (20)	2 : 1
7	Norrie C. (27)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
8	Korda S.	De Minaur A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 1
10	Kovacevic A.	Moutet C. (31)	2 : 0
11	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bonzi B.	2 : 1
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (11)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	Baez S.	Lehecka J. (22)	2 : 0
15	Humbert U. (32)	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Fearnley J.	Fritz T. (7)	1 : 2
17	Musetti L. (5)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
18	Prizmic D. (RET.)	Fils A. (30)	0 : 1
19	Rublev A. (17)	Diallo G.	1 : 2
20	Monfils G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
21	Cobolli F. (15)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Brooksby J.	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
23	Nakashima B. (28)	Ugo Carabelli C.	2 : 0
24	Berrettini M.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
25	Shelton B. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
26	Walton A.	Tien L. (25)	0 : 2
27	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Svajda Z.	2 : 0
28	Giron M.	Mensik J. (12)	0 : 2
29	Khachanov K. (16)	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
30	Bergs Z.	Paul T. (23)	0 : 2
31	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
32	Svrcina D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 1
2	Vacherot V. (24)	Ruud C. (13)	1 : 2
3	Bublik A. (10)	Hijikata R.	1 : 2
4	Norrie C. (27)	De Minaur A. (6)	2 : 0
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
6	Cerundolo F. (19)	Draper J. (14)	0 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (11)	Baez S.	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A.	Fritz T. (7)	2 : 0
9	Fucsovics M.	Fils A. (30)	0 : 2
10	Diallo G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
11	Cobolli F. (15)	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
12	Nakashima B. (28)	Zverev A. (4)	1 : 2
13	Shelton B. (8)	Tien L. (25)	1 : 2
14	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Fonseca J.	Paul T. (23)	2 : 0
16	Shapovalov D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Ruud C. (13)	2 : 0
2	Hijikata R.	Norrie C. (27)	0 : 2
3	Djokovic N. (3)	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (11)	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
5	Fils A. (30)	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	2 : 0
6	Tiafoe F. (21)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
7	Tien L. (25)	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	2 : 1
8	Fonseca J.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Norrie C. (27)	2 : 0
2	Draper J. (14)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
3	Fils A. (30)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
4	Tien L. (25)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
2	Zverev A. (4)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Medvedev D. (11)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2