Alex De Minaur vs Jakub Mensik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik
Result
Mensik J. retired
29/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
67%46%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (5/6)75% (9/12)
2nd Serve Points Won
100% (3/3)21% (3/14)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
67% (8/12)17% (1/6)
2nd Return Points Won
79% (11/14)0% (0/3)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
89% (8/9)46% (12/26)
Return Points Won
54% (14/26)11% (1/9)
Total Points Won
63% (22/35)37% (13/35)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (2/2)33% (1/3)
Return Games Won
67% (2/3)0% (0/2)
Total Games Won
80% (4/5)20% (1/5)

Chances of winning


Alex De Minaur
66.3%
Jakub Mensik
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.44)

    2.85
    (2.75)
    4.7%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Mensik will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex De Minaur will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8. Mensik is ranked ATP: 19.
    • De Minaur is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Mensik is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, De Minaur is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that De Minaur will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur 0:2
    06.02.2025 Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur 0:2
    25.10.2024 Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur 1:2
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    Latest results of Jakub Mensik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (RET.) (8)1 : 1

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Tien L.2 : 0