Casper Ruud vs Jakub Mensik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/01/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Park (Melbourne).

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/32-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max

Match Stats


Aces
7	22
Double Faults
6	1
1st Serve Percentage
62%	60%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (47/75)	71% (46/65)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (22/46)	65% (28/43)
Break Points Saved
69% (11/16)	88% (7/8)
1st Return Points Won
29% (19/65)	37% (28/75)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (15/43)	52% (24/46)
Break Points Converted
13% (1/8)	31% (5/16)
Winners
30	62
Unforced Errors
36	35
Net Points Won
75% (15/20)	68% (25/37)
Service Points Won
57% (69/121)	69% (74/108)
Return Points Won
31% (34/108)	43% (52/121)
Total Points Won
45% (103/229)	55% (126/229)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
71% (12/17)	94% (16/17)
Return Games Won
6% (1/17)	29% (5/17)
Total Games Won
38% (13/34)	62% (21/34)

Chances of winning

Casper Ruud
54.4%

Jakub Mensik
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Casper Ruud - Jakub Mensik Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.69)		2.09 ↓ (2.21)	4.8% (4.5%)

What is the prediction for Casper Ruud - Jakub Mensik?

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 12 - 24.5%). Mensik will win (votes: 37 - 75.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 63.5% – 87.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.

Preview Facts

Ruud is ranked ATP: 6. Mensik is ranked ATP: 48.
Ruud is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Mensik is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Ruud won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0

How many head-to-head matches has Casper Ruud won against Jakub Mensik?

Casper Ruud has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jakub Mensik won against Casper Ruud?

Jakub Mensik has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Casper Ruud - Jakub Mensik were as follows:

26.05.2024 Jakub Mensik - Casper Ruud Canceled

Latest results of Casper Ruud

11.01.2025 Casper Ruud - Jaume Munar 3:2 ✺

30.12.2024 Hubert Hurkacz - Casper Ruud 0:2 ✺

28.12.2024 Tomas Machac - Casper Ruud 1:2 ✺

21.12.2024 Sumit Nagal - Casper Ruud 0:1 ✺

19.12.2024 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Casper Ruud Canceled ✺

Latest results of Jakub Mensik

12.01.2025 Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jakub Mensik 1:3 ✺

09.01.2025 Jakub Mensik - Nuno Borges 1:2 ✺

08.01.2025 Ben Shelton - Jakub Mensik 1:2 ✺

07.01.2025 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Mensik 1:2 ✺

07.01.2025 Alexandre Muller - Jakub Mensik Canceled ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Jarry N.	3 : 0
2	Schoolkate T. (WC)	Daniel T.	3 : 1
3	Giron M.	Hanfmann Y.	3 : 1
4	Etcheverry T. M.	Cobolli F. (32)	3 : 1
5	Hurkacz H. (18)	Griekspoor T.	3 : 0
6	Kecmanovic M.	Lajovic D.	3 : 2
7	Berrettini M.	Norrie C.	3 : 1
8	Zhang Z.	Rune H. (13)	2 : 3
9	Tsitsipas S. (11)	Michelsen A.	1 : 3
10	McCabe J. (WC)	Landaluce M. (Q)	3 : 0
11	Diallo G.	Nardi L.	3 : 2
12	Mannarino A.	Khachanov K. (19)	0 : 3
13	Cerundolo F. (31)	Bublik A.	3 : 0
14	Diaz Acosta F.	Bergs Z.	3 : 2
15	Boyer T. (Q)	Coria F.	3 : 2
16	Van De Zandschulp B.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
17	Fritz T. (4)	Brooksby J.	3 : 0
18	Coric B.	Garin C. (Q)	0 : 3
19	Comesana F.	Altmaier D.	2 : 3
20	Monfils G.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (30)	3 : 2
21	Shelton B. (21)	Nakashima B.	3 : 0
22	Carreno-Busta P.	Majchrzak K. (Q)	3 : 0
23	Bautista-Agut R.	Shapovalov D.	1 : 3
24	Arnaldi M.	Musetti L. (16)	1 : 3
25	Rublev A. (9)	Fonseca J. (Q)	0 : 3
26	Sonego L.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	3 : 1
27	Seyboth Wild T.	Marozsan F.	2 : 3
28	Rinderknech A.	Tiafoe F. (17)	2 : 3
29	Popyrin A. (25)	Moutet C.	1 : 3
30	Hijikata R.	Krueger M. (Q)	0 : 3
31	Ugo Carabelli C.	Tien L. (Q)	2 : 3
32	Samrej K. (WC)	Medvedev D. (5)	2 : 3
33	Djokovic N. (7)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	3 : 1
34	Faria J. (Q)	Kotov P.	3 : 0
35	Onclin G. (Q)	Opelka R.	1 : 3
36	Nagal S.	Machac T. (26)	0 : 3
37	Lehecka J. (24)	Tu L. (WC)	3 : 1
38	Gaston H.	Jasika O. (WC)	3 : 1
39	Goffin D.	Bonzi B.	0 : 3
40	Passaro F. (LL)	Dimitrov G. (RET.) (10)	1 : 0
41	Draper J. (15)	Navone M.	3 : 2
42	Kokkinakis T.	Safiullin R.	3 : 1
43	Dzumhur D.	Vukic A.	2 : 3
44	Klein L. (Q)	Korda S. (22)	1 : 3
45	Thompson J. (27)	Koepfer D. (Q)	3 : 1
46	Muller A.	Borges N.	1 : 3
47	Nishioka Y.	Dougaz A. (Q)	3 : 1
48	Shevchenko A.	Alcaraz C. (3)	0 : 3
49	Ruud C. (6)	Munar J.	3 : 2
50	Basilashvili N. (Q)	Mensik J.	1 : 3
51	Shang J. (RET.)	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 1
52	Struff J-L.	Auger-Aliassime F. (29)	1 : 3
53	Tabilo A. (23)	Carballes Baena R.	1 : 3
54	Duckworth J.	Stricker D.	3 : 0
55	Nishikori K.	Monteiro T. (Q)	3 : 2
56	O'Connell C.	Paul T. (12)	2 : 3
57	Humbert U. (14)	Gigante M. (Q)	3 : 0
58	Habib H. (Q)	Bu Y.	3 : 0
59	Walton A.	Halys Q.	2 : 3
60	Virtanen O.	Fils A. (20)	1 : 3
61	Baez S. (28)	Cazaux A.	2 : 3
62	Fearnley J.	Kyrgios N.	3 : 0
63	Martinez P.	Darderi L. (RET.)	1 : 0
64	Pouille L. (WC)	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Schoolkate T.	3 : 1
2	Giron M.	Etcheverry T. M.	3 : 2
3	Hurkacz H. (18)	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 3
4	Berrettini M.	Rune H. (13)	1 : 3
5	Michelsen A.	McCabe J.	3 : 0
6	Diallo G.	Khachanov K. (19)	1 : 3
7	Cerundolo F. (31)	Diaz Acosta F. (RET.)	1 : 0
8	Boyer T.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
9	Fritz T. (4)	Garin C.	3 : 0
10	Altmaier D.	Monfils G.	0 : 3
11	Shelton B. (21)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 1
12	Shapovalov D.	Musetti L. (16)	0 : 3
13	Fonseca J.	Sonego L.	2 : 3
14	Marozsan F.	Tiafoe F. (17)	3 : 2
15	Moutet C.	Krueger M.	3 : 1
16	Tien L.	Medvedev D. (5)	3 : 2
17	Djokovic N. (7)	Faria J.	3 : 1
18	Opelka R.	Machac T. (26)	2 : 3
19	Lehecka J. (24)	Gaston H. (RET.)	1 : 0
20	Bonzi B.	Passaro F.	3 : 1
21	Draper J. (15)	Kokkinakis T.	3 : 2
22	Vukic A.	Korda S. (22)	3 : 2
23	Thompson J. (27)	Borges N.	0 : 3
24	Nishioka Y.	Alcaraz C. (3)	0 : 3
25	Ruud C. (6)	Mensik J.	1 : 3
26	Davidovich Fokina A.	Auger-Aliassime F. (29)	3 : 2
27	Carballes Baena R.	Duckworth J.	3 : 0
28	Nishikori K.	Paul T. (12)	1 : 3
29	Humbert U. (14)	Habib H.	3 : 0
30	Halys Q.	Fils A. (20)	1 : 3
31	Cazaux A.	Fearnley J.	1 : 3
32	Martinez P.	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Giron M.	3 : 0
2	Kecmanovic M.	Rune H. (13)	2 : 3
3	Michelsen A.	Khachanov K. (19)	3 : 0
4	Cerundolo F. (31)	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 3
5	Fritz T. (4)	Monfils G.	1 : 3
6	Shelton B. (21)	Musetti L. (16)	3 : 1
7	Sonego L.	Marozsan F.	3 : 1
8	Moutet C.	Tien L.	0 : 3
9	Djokovic N. (7)	Machac T. (26)	3 : 0
10	Lehecka J. (24)	Bonzi B.	3 : 0
11	Draper J. (15)	Vukic A.	3 : 2
12	Borges N.	Alcaraz C. (3)	1 : 3
13	Mensik J.	Davidovich Fokina A.	2 : 3
14	Carballes Baena R.	Paul T. (12)	0 : 3
15	Humbert U. (14)	Fils A. (RET.) (20)	2 : 1
16	Fearnley J.	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Rune H. (13)	3 : 1
2	Michelsen A.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
3	Monfils G. (RET.)	Shelton B. (21)	1 : 2
4	Sonego L.	Tien L.	3 : 1
5	Djokovic N. (7)	Lehecka J. (24)	3 : 0
6	Draper J. (RET.) (15)	Alcaraz C. (3)	0 : 2
7	Davidovich Fokina A.	Paul T. (12)	0 : 3
8	Humbert U. (14)	Zverev A. (2)	1 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	De Minaur A. (8)	3 : 0
2	Shelton B. (21)	Sonego L.	3 : 1
3	Djokovic N. (7)	Alcaraz C. (3)	3 : 1
4	Paul T. (12)	Zverev A. (2)	1 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shelton B. (21)	3 : 0
2	Djokovic N. (RET.) (7)	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 1

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Zverev A. (2)

3 : 0