Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Next Gen Finals Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca
Result
2:3
20/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Next Gen Finals - Jeddah (World), hard (indoor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
2211
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
67%73%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (61/76)77% (62/81)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (18/37)60% (18/30)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
23% (19/81)20% (15/76)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (12/30)51% (19/37)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)25% (1/4)
Winners
4338
Unforced Errors
3836
Net Points Won
65% (13/20)81% (13/16)
Service Points Won
70% (79/113)72% (80/111)
Return Points Won
28% (31/111)30% (34/113)
Total Points Won
49% (110/224)51% (114/224)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)93% (14/15)
Return Games Won
7% (1/15)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Jakub Mensik
52.7%
Joao Fonseca
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.2% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.
  • Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.36)

    2.01
    (3.2)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca?
  • Users Predictions: Joao Fonseca will win (33 of 41 users predict this - 80.49%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%92.62%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Played with special rules.
    • Mensik is ranked ATP: 48. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 145.
    • Recent matches Mensik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Fonseca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jakub Mensik
    19.12.2024 Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik 3:0
    27.10.2024 Jakub Mensik - Corentin Moutet Mensik J. retired
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Fonseca J. (8)van Assche L. (6)3 : 0
    2Michelsen A. (2)Tien L. (5)2 : 3

    Final
    1Fonseca J. (8)Tien L. (5)3 : 1