Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Basel Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca
Result
Fonseca J. walkover
22/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3, Prima Sport 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandSRF 2, SRF 2

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
00
1st Serve Percentage
0%0%
1st Serve Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
2nd Serve Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
2nd Return Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Return Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Total Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Service Games Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Return Games Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Total Games Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)

Chances of winning


Jakub Mensik
43.3%
Joao Fonseca
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.
  • Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.83)

    1.66
    (1.83)
    6.1%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Fonseca will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Joao Fonseca will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mensik is ranked ATP: 19. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 46.
    • Recent performances by Mensik have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fonseca is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Fonseca will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mensik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca 2:3
    Latest results of Jakub Mensik
    29.09.2025 Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik Mensik J. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Vacherot V. (WC)2 : 1
    2Korda S.Humbert U.0 : 2
    3Baez S.Opelka R. (Q)0 : 2
    4Van De Zandschulp B. (LL)Lehecka J. (6)2 : 0
    5Ruud C. (4)Halys Q. (LL)2 : 0
    6Kecmanovic M.Wawrinka S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Brooksby J. (PR)Muller A.2 : 0
    8Sonego L.Davidovich Fokina A. (8)0 : 2
    9Mensik J. (7)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 1
    10Mpetshi Perricard G.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    11Collignon R. (SE)Royer V. (LL)0 : 2
    12Giron M.Shapovalov D. (9)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (5)Diallo G.2 : 0
    14Goffin D. (LL)Cilic M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Bertola R. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    16Majchrzak K. (Q)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Humbert U.
    2Opelka R.Van De Zandschulp B.
    3Ruud C. (4)Wawrinka S.
    4Brooksby J.Davidovich Fokina A. (8)
    5Mensik J. (7)Fonseca J. (WO.)
    6Royer V.Shapovalov D. (9)
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (5)Cilic M.
    8Munar J.Shelton B. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Fonseca J.TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2